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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Toronto (w) - Minnesota Links (Zh)

Basketball
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)
93 : 100
Finished
Minnesota Links (Zh)
Minnesota Links (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Minnesota Links (Zh) — 82%

Pure model vs market (2 · Minnesota Links (Zh)): model 63% · market 85% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Toronto (w)18.0%
market15%
2 · Minnesota Links (Zh) ✓ Pick82.0%
market85%

Model estimate: win Toronto (w) 18.0%, win Minnesota Links (Zh) 82.0%. Model favourite — Minnesota Links (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toronto (w) - Minnesota Links (Zh) July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Minnesota Links (Zh).

Line favourite market consensus: Minnesota Links (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.60 / 2 1.15
  • Glicko: Toronto (w) 18.0% / Minnesota Links (Zh) 82.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 2.1%
1 14.8%
2 ✓ Pick 85.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Toronto (w)
#11GP 2310-13PPG 89.7OPP 92.0
Minnesota Links (Zh)
#1GP 2317-6PPG 90.0OPP 80.9

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Toronto (w)
3-2WLLWW
points for 88.3points against 85.5
Minnesota Links (Zh)
7-3WWLWWWLWWL
points for 90.0points against 81.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Toronto (w) - Minnesota Links (Zh)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 93:100
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 82.2% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.063 / LogLoss 0.195
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 62.9% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.275 / LogLoss 0.464
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 62.9% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.275 / LogLoss 0.464
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 62.9% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.275 / LogLoss 0.464
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Toronto (w) 16.6% 18.0%
Minnesota Links (Zh) 83.5% 82.0% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 18.0% / 82.0% probabilities
Rating 1,452 / 2,033 Toronto (w) / Minnesota Links (Zh)
RD 86 / 156 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,279-1,624 / 1,721-2,345 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 82.0%
1 5.97 market consensus · no value · model 18.0%
Total
Over 185.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Over 186 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6% — 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 185.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% —
Over 186 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 186.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1%
Over 187.5 — 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
Over 188.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Under 185.5 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 186.5 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% —
Under 187.5 — 1.87 53.5% —
Under 188.5 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
5.50 18.2% 6.60 15.2% 5.80 17.2%
1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Toronto (w)
L L L L W
28.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 93:100 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
20.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 83:109 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 92:111 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
14.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 62:79 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
12.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 93:91 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
84.6 Scored
98.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Minnesota Links (Zh)
W W W W W
28.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota Links (Zh) 100:93 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
22.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota Links (Zh) 105:102 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
21.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota Links (Zh) 105:102 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
18.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota Links (Zh) 101:93 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
15.07 15:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota Links (Zh) 96:87 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
101.4 Scored
95.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToronto (w) - Minnesota Links (Zh)

Toronto (w)
2 matches total
Minnesota Links (Zh)
Toronto (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Minnesota Links (Zh): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Minnesota Links (Zh) 72:100 (21.05 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 193 goals (93:100, 28.07 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

28.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto Tempo (Zh)
93:100
Minnesota Links (Zh)
21.05 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto Tempo (Zh)
72:100
Minnesota Links (Zh)