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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
17.07.2026 21:30 UTC Match prediction
17.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Toronto (w) - Atlanta Drim (Zh)

Basketball
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)
92 : 111
Finished
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Atlanta Drim (Zh) — 75%

Pure model vs market (2 · Atlanta Drim (Zh)): model 48% · market 78% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Toronto (w)24.7%
market22%
2 · Atlanta Drim (Zh) ✓ Pick75.3%
market78%

Model estimate: win Toronto (w) 24.7%, win Atlanta Drim (Zh) 75.3%. Model favourite — Atlanta Drim (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Toronto (w) (odds1.91) Score 81:79 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Toronto Tempo (Zh): forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • • Atlanta Drim (Zh): forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Toronto Tempo (Zh): probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.91)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toronto (w) - Atlanta Drim (Zh) July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atlanta Drim (Zh).

Line favourite market consensus: Atlanta Drim (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 4.30 / 2 1.24
  • Glicko: Toronto (w) 24.7% / Atlanta Drim (Zh) 75.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 22.4%
2 ✓ Pick 77.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Toronto (w)
#11GP 2310-13PPG 89.7OPP 92.0
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
#6GP 2313-10PPG 87.7OPP 84.4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Toronto (w)
3-2WLLWW
points for 88.3points against 85.5
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
1-4LLLLW
points for 87.7points against 83.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Toronto (w) - Atlanta Drim (Zh)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 92:111
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Toronto (w) 22.6% 24.7%
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 77.4% 75.3% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 24.7% / 75.3% probabilities
Rating 1,515 / 1,541 Toronto (w) / Atlanta Drim (Zh)
RD 88 / 127 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,339-1,691 / 1,287-1,794 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.3%
1 4.25 market consensus · no value · model 24.7%
Total
Over 180.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Over 181.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.85 54.1% — —
1.95 51.3% — —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% —
1.95 51.3% — 1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1% — 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 180.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
Over 181.5 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%
Over 182 — — 1.89 52.9%
Over 182.5 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.92 52.1%
Under 180.5 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 181.5 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%
Under 182.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.24 23.6%
1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Toronto (w)
L W L L
14.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 62:79 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
12.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 93:91 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
10.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 95:108 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
05.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 76:89 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
1 Wins
3 Losses
81.5 Scored
91.8 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
W L W L
13.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 101:92 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
11.07 18:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 92:102 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
09.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 89:78 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
02.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta Drim (Zh) 76:81 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
2 Wins
2 Losses
89.5 Scored
88.3 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToronto (w) - Atlanta Drim (Zh)

Toronto (w)
1 matches total
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Toronto (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atlanta Drim (Zh): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atlanta Drim (Zh) 77:102 (14.06 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 179 goals (77:102, 14.06 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

14.06 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto Tempo (Zh)
77:102
Atlanta Drim (Zh)