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WNBA
WNBA
28.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Not started

WNBA

Vashington Mistiks (Zh) - Konnektikut San (Zh)

Basketball
Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
- : -
Not started
Konnektikut San (Zh)
Konnektikut San (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh)): model 60% · market 68% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) ✓ Pick67.3%
market68%
2 · Konnektikut San (Zh)32.7%
market32%

Model estimate: win Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 67.3%, win Konnektikut San (Zh) 32.7%. Model favourite — Vashington Mistiks (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vashington Mistiks (Zh) (odds1.44) Score 83:77 confidence 66%
  • Vashington Mistiks (Zh): forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • Konnektikut San (Zh): forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • Model backs Vashington Mistiks (Zh): probability 66% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.44)
  • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vashington Mistiks (Zh) - Konnektikut San (Zh) July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Vashington Mistiks (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / 2 3.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 ✓ Pick 67.9%
2 32.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
6-4LWLWWWLLWW
points for 82.2points against 83.7
Konnektikut San (Zh)
2-8LLLLLLLWWL
points for 83.3points against 85.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Vashington Mistiks (Zh) - Konnektikut San (Zh)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 67.8% 67.3% market and model agree
Konnektikut San (Zh) 32.2% 32.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 67.3% / 32.7% probabilities
Rating 1,712 / 1,447 Vashington Mistiks (Zh) / Konnektikut San (Zh)
RD 119 / 143 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,474-1,950 / 1,162-1,732 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.98 market consensus · no value · model 32.7%
1 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 67.3%
Total
Over 156.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Over 157 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 156.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
Over 157.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
Over 158.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 159.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
Over 160.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 156.5 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6%
Under 157.5 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6%
Under 158.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 159.5 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6%
Under 160.5 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%
2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 2.98 33.6%
Match center
Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
W L W
22.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 100:99 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
16.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 56:75 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
14.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 79:62 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Losses
78.3 Scored
78.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Konnektikut San (Zh)
L W W W
22.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Konnektikut San (Zh) 88:123 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
19.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Konnektikut San (Zh) 96:83 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
18.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Konnektikut San (Zh) 96:83 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
14.07 13:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Konnektikut San (Zh) 90:87 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Losses
92.5 Scored
94.0 Conceded
75% Win percentage