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WNBA
WNBA USA
17.05.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Atlanta Dream - Las Vegas Aces

USA Basketball
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
84 : 85
Finished
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atlanta Dream - Las Vegas Aces May 17, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Las Vegas Aces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / 2 1.18

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 19.4%
2 80.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Atlanta Dream

Main outcome Atlanta Dream
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 40.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Atlanta Dream
#1GP 1912-7
Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 1914-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Atlanta Dream
3-2WLLWW
points for 82.9points against 86.2
Las Vegas Aces
3-2LWWLW
points for 90.7points against 86.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Steyt Farm Arena (Atlanta)
Referee Cissoko Stephens F. 🇺🇸 - Mirkovich T. 🇺🇸 - Dzhons K. 🇺🇸
Attendance 17 044
Start 17.05.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Atlanta Dream - Las Vegas Aces

Array

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 84:85
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 162.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 163.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.77 56.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.60 62.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.03 49.3%
2.35 42.6%
2.70 37.0%
3.20 31.3%
2.23 44.8%
2.52 39.7%
2.85 35.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.52 65.8%
1.33 75.2%
1.31 76.3%
1.33 75.2%
1.47 68.0%
1.41 70.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 162.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 163.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 164.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 165.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 166.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 167.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 168.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 169.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 170.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 171.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 172.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 173.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 174.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 175.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 176.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 177.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 178.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 179.5 2.35 42.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.90 20.4%
1.18 84.8%
Match center
Las Vegas Aces
W
27.04 00:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces 94:78 JAPAN
1 Wins
0 Losses
94.0 Scored
78.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage