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WNBA
WNBA USA
11.06.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty

USA Basketball
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
90 : 104
Finished
New York Liberty
New York Liberty

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty June 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: New York Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 7.8%
2 92.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Atlanta Dream
#1GP 1912-7
New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Atlanta Dream
Overall WWLWW Net +13.1
Home WWW Net +26.4
Away WLW Net +2.0
New York Liberty
Overall LLLWL Net -8.8
Home LWL Net -7.5
Away LLW Net -10.8

Team stats

Atlanta Dream Overall · Home/Away New York Liberty
72.7%H 80.0% · A 66.7%Win %46.2%H 50.0% · A 40.0%
13.1H 26.4 · A 2.0Point differential-8.8H -7.5 · A -10.8
85.5H 90.4 · A 81.3Points per game81.2H 81.9 · A 80.2
78.9H 77.2 · A 80.3Conceded85.6H 85.6 · A 85.6
43.2%H 46.0% · A 40.8%FG, %44.4%H 45.3% · A 43.0%
36.4H 60.0 · A 16.71st half30.8H 25.0 · A 40.0
80.9H 81.8 · A 80.2Pace80.2H 80.0 · A 80.4
105.7H 104.4 · A 106.8Offensive rating100.5H 100.6 · A 100.4
97.6H 96.4 · A 98.6Defensive rating106.0H 106.0 · A 105.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Atlanta Dream Total (over) New York Liberty
85.5 Points per game 81.2
81.8%
O 79.5
53.8%
81.8%
O 80.5
46.2%
72.7%
O 81.5
46.2%
54.5%
O 82.5
38.5%
54.5%
O 83.5srednee
23.1%
45.5%
O 84.5
23.1%
45.5%
O 85.5
23.1%
27.3%
O 86.5
23.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Atlanta Dream Total (over) New York Liberty
9.1%
O 101.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 102.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 103.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 104.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 105.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 106.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 107.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 108.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Atlanta Dream — / New York Liberty —

Atlanta Dream Total (over) New York Liberty
36.4%
O 40.5
30.8%
36.4%
O 41.5
30.8%
36.4%
O 42.5
30.8%
36.4%
O 43.5
23.1%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Atlanta Dream 45.6 / New York Liberty 42.4

Atlanta Dream Total (over) New York Liberty
54.5%
O 42.5
53.8%
45.5%
O 43.5srednee
53.8%
36.4%
O 44.5
53.8%
27.3%
O 45.5
38.5%

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Match center
Start 11.06.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 1.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 154.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.92 52.1%
2.00 50.0%
2.40 41.7%
2.75 36.4%
1.40 71.4%
2.35 42.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.50 66.7%
1.43 69.9%
1.52 65.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.60 62.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.43 69.9%
1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 153.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 154.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 155.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 156.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 157.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 158.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 159.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 160.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 161.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 162.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 163.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 164.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 165.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 166.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 167.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 168.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 169.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 170.5 2.45 40.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Bettery Fonbet
1.62 61.7% 1.83 54.6% 1.67 59.9% 2.15 46.5% 12.00 8.3%
2.35 42.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.44 41.0% 1.60 62.5% 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Atlanta Dream
W
30.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Atlanta Dream 86:66 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
66.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
New York Liberty
W
03.06 23:30 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 97:82 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
97.0 Scored
82.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage