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WNBA
WNBA International
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

International

Atlanta Dream (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w)

International Basketball
Atlanta Dream (w)
Atlanta Dream (w)
- : -
Not started
Las Vegas Aces (w)
Las Vegas Aces (w)

Atlanta Dream (w) take on Las Vegas Aces (w) on August 3, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atlanta Dream (w) 5-0-0, Las Vegas Aces (w) 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Las Vegas Aces (w) — 52%

Pure model vs market (2 · Las Vegas Aces (w)): model 46% · market 53% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Atlanta Dream (w)47.8%
2 · Las Vegas Aces (w)52.2%

Model estimate: win Atlanta Dream (w) 47.8%, win Las Vegas Aces (w) 52.2%. Model favourite — Las Vegas Aces (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Las Vegas Aces (w) (odds1.81) Score 79:81 Under 176.5 (odds2.40) Handicap H2 -1.5 (odds1.90) confidence 50%
  • • Atlanta (zh): forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Las Vegas (zh): forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Las Vegas (zh): probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 176.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 176.5 (odds 2.40)
  • • Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atlanta Dream (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w) August 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Las Vegas Aces (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / 2 1.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 47.4%
2 52.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.00 → 2.00
Pobeditel P2 1.80 → 1.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 47.4% @ 2.00 / 2 52.6% @ 1.80
Form 6 matches
Match center

Atlanta Dream (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atlanta Dream (w) 47.4% 47.8%
Las Vegas Aces (w) 52.6% 52.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 47.8% / 52.2% probabilities
Rating 1,733 / 1,698 Atlanta Dream (w) / Las Vegas Aces (w)
RD 175 / 164 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,384-2,082 / 1,370-2,027 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 Fonbet · no value · model 52.2%
1 2.00 Fonbet · no value · model 47.8%
Total
Over 176.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 177.5 1.56 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 2.23 44.8%
— — 2.37 42.2%
— — 2.60 38.5%
— — 2.80 35.7%
— — 3.00 33.3%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.96 51.0%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 2.37 42.2%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.58 63.3%
— — 1.51 66.2%
— — 1.44 69.4%
— — 1.38 72.5%
— — 1.34 74.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 176.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 177.5 — — 1.56 64.1%
Over 178.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 179.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 180.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 181.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Over 182.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 183.5 — — 1.96 51.0%
Over 184.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
Over 185.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 186.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 176.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 177.5 — — 2.27 44.1%
Under 178.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 181.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%