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WNBA
WNBA USA
09.06.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Chicago Sky - Atlanta Dream

USA Basketball
Chicago Sky
Chicago Sky
75 : 82
Finished
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chicago Sky - Atlanta Dream June 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atlanta Dream. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.50 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 8.1%
2 91.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Chicago Sky
#6GP 196-13
Atlanta Dream
#1GP 1912-7

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Chicago Sky
Overall LWLLL Net -10.6
Home WLL Net -17.2
Away LLW Net -5.0
Atlanta Dream
Overall LLLWL Net -8.8
Home LWL Net -7.5
Away LLW Net -10.8

Team stats

Chicago Sky Overall · Home/Away Atlanta Dream
36.4%H 20.0% · A 50.0%Win %46.2%H 50.0% · A 40.0%
-10.6H -17.2 · A -5.0Point differential-8.8H -7.5 · A -10.8
80.6H 82.2 · A 79.3Points per game81.2H 81.9 · A 80.2
85.9H 90.8 · A 81.8Conceded85.6H 85.6 · A 85.6
40.6%H 40.0% · A 41.2%FG, %44.4%H 45.3% · A 43.0%
27.3H 20.0 · A 33.31st half30.8H 25.0 · A 40.0
84.0H 84.7 · A 83.4Pace80.2H 80.0 · A 80.4
96.4H 94.6 · A 97.9Offensive rating100.5H 100.6 · A 100.4
102.7H 100.8 · A 104.3Defensive rating106.0H 106.0 · A 105.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Chicago Sky Total (over) Atlanta Dream
80.6 Points per game 81.2
54.5%
O 77.5
53.8%
54.5%
O 78.5
53.8%
54.5%
O 79.5
53.8%
54.5%
O 80.5srednee
46.2%
54.5%
O 81.5
46.2%
54.5%
O 82.5
38.5%
45.5%
O 83.5
23.1%
45.5%
O 84.5
23.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Chicago Sky Total (over) Atlanta Dream
9.1%
O 101.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 102.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 103.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Chicago Sky — / Atlanta Dream —

Chicago Sky Total (over) Atlanta Dream
27.3%
O 40.5
30.8%
27.3%
O 41.5
30.8%
27.3%
O 42.5
30.8%
18.2%
O 43.5
23.1%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Chicago Sky 42.6 / Atlanta Dream 42.4

Chicago Sky Total (over) Atlanta Dream
63.6%
O 40.5
61.5%
63.6%
O 41.5
53.8%
54.5%
O 42.5srednee
53.8%
54.5%
O 43.5
53.8%

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Chicago Sky - Atlanta Dream

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 3.86 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 151.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 152.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.60 38.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.13 47.0%
2.30 43.5%
2.50 40.0%
1.93 51.8%
1.92 52.1%
1.75 57.1%
2.60 38.5%
1.73 57.8%
2.25 44.4%
2.50 40.0%
2.80 35.7%
1.35 74.1%
1.30 76.9%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 151.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 152.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 153.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 154.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 155.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 156.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 157.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 158.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 159.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 160.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 161.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 162.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 163.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 164.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 165.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 166.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 168.5 1.73 57.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) BetBoom Betfair Fonbet
4.10 24.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 4.50 22.2% 11.50 8.7%
1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.31 76.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Chicago Sky
L L
07.06 19:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky 68:85 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
28.05 00:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky 104:111 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
2 Losses
86.0 Scored
98.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Atlanta Dream
W
30.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Atlanta Dream 86:66 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
66.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage