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WNBA
WNBA USA
28.06.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
28.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Chicago Sky - Las Vegas Aces

USA Basketball
Chicago Sky
Chicago Sky
99 : 107
Finished
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Las Vegas Aces (odds1.01) Score 77:83 confidence 68% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Las Vegas Aces: probability 68%.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chicago Sky - Las Vegas Aces June 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Las Vegas Aces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 6.7%
2 93.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Chicago Sky
#6GP 196-13
Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 1914-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

19Wins28
40.4%Win %59.6%
80.9Points per game84.7
91.7Offensive rating99.4
96.1Defensive rating94.9
-3.8Point differential3.8
58.2Assists62.4
114.5Rebounds120.4
31.9%3-pointers, %38.2%

Team form

Chicago Sky
Overall WLLLL Net -9.5
Home WLL Net -7.0
Away LLL Net -11.8
Las Vegas Aces

Coach: Becky Hammon

Overall LWWLW Net +6.9
Home LWW Net -3.7
Away WLW Net +14.4

Team stats

Chicago Sky Overall · Home/Away Las Vegas Aces
29.4%H 25.0% · A 33.3%Win %70.6%H 57.1% · A 80.0%
-9.5H -7.0 · A -11.8Point differential6.9H -3.7 · A 14.4
83.5H 85.3 · A 81.9Points per game89.2H 87.7 · A 90.3
88.2H 88.8 · A 87.8Conceded85.8H 89.6 · A 83.1
41.6%H 43.3% · A 40.1%FG, %48.2%H 47.7% · A 48.6%
35.3H 37.5 · A 33.31st half76.5H 71.4 · A 80.0
84.3H 82.8 · A 85.5Pace81.9H 80.0 · A 83.1
99.4H 100.6 · A 98.3Offensive rating109.9H 112.5 · A 108.1
105.0H 106.4 · A 103.9Defensive rating105.6H 108.1 · A 103.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Chicago Sky Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
83.5 Points per game 89.2
58.8%
O 82.5
76.5%
52.9%
O 83.5
76.5%
52.9%
O 84.5
70.6%
47.1%
O 85.5
64.7%
41.2%
O 86.5srednee
58.8%
41.2%
O 87.5
52.9%
41.2%
O 88.5
52.9%
35.3%
O 89.5
52.9%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Chicago Sky Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
11.8%
O 101.5
11.8%
11.8%
O 102.5
11.8%
11.8%
O 103.5
11.8%
5.9%
O 104.5
11.8%
5.9%
O 105.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Chicago Sky — / Las Vegas Aces 45.9

Chicago Sky Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
41.2%
O 40.5
70.6%
41.2%
O 41.5
70.6%
35.3%
O 42.5
64.7%
23.5%
O 43.5srednee
58.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Chicago Sky 43.9 / Las Vegas Aces 43.3

Chicago Sky Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
58.8%
O 42.5
58.8%
58.8%
O 43.5srednee
41.2%
58.8%
O 44.5
41.2%
52.9%
O 45.5
41.2%

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Match center
Start 28.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Chicago Sky - Las Vegas Aces

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 173.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 174.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.52 65.8%
2.60 38.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6%
2.50 40.0%
2.35 42.6%
2.70 37.0%
2.70 37.0%
1.90 52.6%
2.02 49.5%
1.60 62.5%
2.25 44.4%
2.50 40.0%
2.80 35.7%
1.53 65.4%
1.63 61.4%
1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 173.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 174.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 175.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 176.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 177.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 178.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 179.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 180.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 181.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 182.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 184.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 185.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 186.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 187.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 189.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 190.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 191.5 1.68 59.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
14.00 7.1%
1.01 99.0%
Match center
Chicago Sky
W
25.06 00:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky 101:78 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
0 Losses
101.0 Scored
78.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Las Vegas Aces
W
12.06 02:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces 105:89 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
0 Losses
105.0 Scored
89.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage