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WNBA
WNBA International
31.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

Chicago Sky (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

International Basketball
Chicago Sky (w)
Chicago Sky (w)
59 : 66
Finished
Connecticut Sun (w)
Connecticut Sun (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Chicago Sky (w)66%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chicago Sky (w)): model 60% · market 93% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Chicago Sky (w) ✓ Pick65.6%
market93%
2 · Connecticut Sun (w)34.4%
market7%

Model estimate: win Chicago Sky (w) 65.6%, win Connecticut Sun (w) 34.4%. Model favourite — Chicago Sky (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chicago Sky (w) (odds1.60) Score 82:78 Under 166.5 (odds2.40) Handicap H1 -3.5 (odds1.90) confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • Chikago (zh): forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • Konnektikut (zh): forma PPVP (1-3)
  • Model backs Chikago (zh): probability 60% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 166.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 166.5 (odds 2.40)
  • Handicap F1 -3.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chicago Sky (w) - Connecticut Sun (w) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chicago Sky (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Chicago Sky (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Chicago Sky (w) 65.6% / Connecticut Sun (w) 34.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 ✓ Pick 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.53 ↓ 1.44
Winner 2 2.50 ↑ 2.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Chicago Sky (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 59:66
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 65.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.862 / LogLoss 1.068
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 56.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.633 / LogLoss 0.827
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chicago Sky (w) 66.0% 65.6% market and model agree
Connecticut Sun (w) 34.0% 34.4%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 65.6% / 34.4% probabilities
Rating 1,662 / 1,374 Chicago Sky (w) / Connecticut Sun (w)
RD 214 / 221 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,234-2,089 / 931-1,816 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.84 market consensus · no value · model 34.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 65.6%
Total
Over 165.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 166.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
2.50 40.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
2.60 38.5%
2.60 38.5%
2.55 39.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 171.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Over 172.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 173.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
Over 174.5 1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6%
Over 175.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Over 176.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 177.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 171.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 172.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 173.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 174.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 175.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 176.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 177.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.44 69.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.46 68.5%
2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 14.00 7.1% 2.82 35.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-7
2026-06-22 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 63:92 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2026-06-05 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 85:80 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2025-09-04 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 88:64 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2025-08-23 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 84:94 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2025-08-13 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 62:71 Konnektikut San (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Chicago Sky (w)
L W W L W
22.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky (w) 94:95 Nyu-York (zh)
17.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky (w) 94:80 Los-Andzheles (zh)Los-Andzheles (zh)
15.07 16:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky (w) 95:90 Sietl (zh)Sietl (zh)
11.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky (w) 87:102 Los-Andzheles (zh)Los-Andzheles (zh)
08.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky (w) 77:66 Finiks (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
89.4 Scored
86.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Connecticut Sun (w)
L L W L
28.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun (w) 84:92 Vashington (zh)Vashington (zh)
23.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun (w) 88:123 Indiana (zh)
18.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun (w) 96:81 Finiks (zh)
10.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun (w) 64:79 Golden Steyt (zh)Golden Steyt (zh)
1 Wins
3 Losses
83.0 Scored
93.8 Conceded
25% Win percentage