WNBA
Chicago Sky (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Las Vegas Aces (w) — 57%
Model estimate: win Chicago Sky (w) 43.0%, win Las Vegas Aces (w) 57.0%. Model favourite — Las Vegas Aces (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Chikago (zh): forma PPVVP (2-3)
- • Las Vegas (zh): forma VVPVP (3-2)
- • Model backs Las Vegas (zh): probability 57% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
- • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 177.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 177.5 (odds 2.33)
- • Handicap F1 +7.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chicago Sky (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w) August 1, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.40 / 2 1.32
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Chicago Sky (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.51 66.2% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 2.37 42.2% | |
| 2.23 44.8% | |
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 2.37 42.2% | |
| 1.44 69.4% | |
| 1.51 66.2% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | |
| 2.07 48.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 177.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 178.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 179.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 181.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 182.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 183.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| Over 184.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Over 185.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 186.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| Over 187.5 | 2.33 42.9% |
| Under 177.5 | 2.33 42.9% |
| Under 178.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| Under 179.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 180.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 181.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| Under 182.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 183.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 3.40 29.4% | |
| 1.32 75.8% |
Form & head-to-head
Chicago Sky (w)
Los-Andzheles (zh)
Sietl (zh)
Los-Andzheles (zh)
Las Vegas Aces (w)
Vashington (zh)
Toronto (zh)
Full head-to-head historyChicago Sky (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w)
Match history
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The Chicago Sky (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form