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WNBA
WNBA USA
03.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Connecticut Sun - Dallas Wings

USA Basketball
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
83 : 84
Finished
Dallas Wings
Dallas Wings
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dallas Wings (odds1.42) Score 78:82 confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Connecticut Sun: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • Dallas Wings: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Dallas Wings: probability 61%
  • • Total: Over 80.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 80.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +8.5: covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut Sun - Dallas Wings July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dallas Wings. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.75 / 2 1.27

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 25.3%
2 74.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Connecticut Sun
#7GP 194-15
Dallas Wings
#4GP 1911-8

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

34Wins15
69.4%Win %30.6%
85.0Points per game78.6
100.2Offensive rating95.9
92.7Defensive rating103.6
6.4Point differential-6.4
62.6Assists58.1
114.4Rebounds106.3
32.5%3-pointers, %32.3%

Team form

Connecticut Sun
Overall WWLLL Net -14.7
Home WWLLL Net -6.0
Away L Net -24.4
Dallas Wings
Overall LLWWL Net +5.6
Home LWW Net +18.4
Away LWL Net -6.0

Team stats

Connecticut Sun Overall · Home/Away Dallas Wings
21.1%H 30.0% · A 11.1%Win %57.9%H 66.7% · A 50.0%
-14.7H -6.0 · A -24.4Point differential5.6H 18.4 · A -6.0
79.3H 82.2 · A 76.0Points per game88.4H 86.1 · A 90.5
86.6H 85.2 · A 88.2Conceded85.6H 76.9 · A 93.5
42.3%H 42.5% · A 42.1%FG, %45.6%H 44.2% · A 46.8%
47.4H 50.0 · A 44.41st half36.8H 66.7 · A 10.0
82.1H 82.6 · A 81.6Pace81.9H 80.0 · A 83.7
96.6H 95.4 · A 97.9Offensive rating107.5H 109.4 · A 105.8
105.6H 104.3 · A 107.1Defensive rating104.1H 106.0 · A 102.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Dallas Wings
79.3 Points per game 88.4
42.1%
O 80.5
68.4%
36.8%
O 81.5
68.4%
26.3%
O 82.5
68.4%
26.3%
O 83.5srednee
63.2%
21.1%
O 84.5
57.9%
21.1%
O 85.5
52.6%
21.1%
O 86.5
47.4%
21.1%
O 87.5
47.4%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Dallas Wings
0.0%
O 102.5
15.8%
0.0%
O 103.5
15.8%
0.0%
O 104.5
10.5%
0.0%
O 105.5
10.5%
0.0%
O 106.5
10.5%
0.0%
O 107.5
5.3%
0.0%
O 108.5
5.3%
0.0%
O 109.5
5.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Connecticut Sun 40.0 / Dallas Wings 41.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Dallas Wings
47.4%
O 40.5srednee
42.1%
47.4%
O 41.5
36.8%
42.1%
O 42.5
36.8%
42.1%
O 43.5
31.6%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Connecticut Sun — / Dallas Wings 46.1

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Dallas Wings
31.6%
O 41.5
68.4%
31.6%
O 42.5
68.4%
31.6%
O 43.5
63.2%
31.6%
O 44.5srednee
63.2%

Lineups and availability

Injuries and lineups

Connecticut Sun
No injury data
Dallas Wings
  • Odyssey Sims GOut
    Sims (ankle) is probable for Thursday's game against the Sun.
  • Alanna Smith FOut
    Smith (concussion) is questionable for Thursday's game against the Sun.

Injury and player availability data: ESPN. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Connecticut Sun - Dallas Wings

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1 3.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 154.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 155.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.83 54.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
— 3.30 30.3%
— 2.20 45.5%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 2.00 50.0%
— 1.30 76.9%
— 1.48 67.6%
— 2.30 43.5%
1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1% 2.45 40.8%
— 2.15 46.5%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.70 58.8%
— 1.52 65.8%
— 1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 154.5 1.82 55.0% —
Over 155.5 — 1.28 78.1%
Over 156.5 — 1.37 73.0%
Over 157.5 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 158.5 — 1.63 61.4%
Over 159.5 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%
Over 160.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 161.5 — 2.30 43.5%
Over 162.5 — 1.50 66.7%
Over 163.5 — 1.67 59.9%
Over 164.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Over 165.5 — 2.15 46.5%
Over 166.5 — 2.35 42.6%
Over 167.5 — 2.65 37.7%
Over 168.5 — 3.00 33.3%
Under 154.5 1.88 53.2% —
Under 159.5 1.86 53.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.40 41.7% 3.75 26.7% 2.44 41.0%
1.50 66.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Connecticut Sun
L L
19.06 23:30 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun 97:101 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
10.06 23:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun 102:106 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
2 Losses
99.5 Scored
103.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Dallas Wings
L
14.06 00:30 UTC WNBA
Dallas Wings 83:84 Portland FirePortland Fire
0 Wins
1 Losses
83.0 Scored
84.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage