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WNBA
WNBA USA
30.05.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
30.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Connecticut Sun - Los Angeles Sparks

USA Basketball
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
84 : 81
Finished
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles Sparks

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut Sun - Los Angeles Sparks May 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Connecticut Sun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 88.0%
2 12.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Connecticut Sun
#7GP 142-12
Los Angeles Sparks
#5GP 137-6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Connecticut Sun
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
points for 77.3points against 85.8
Los Angeles Sparks
2-3LWLLW
points for 93.0points against 90.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Connecticut Sun - Los Angeles Sparks

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 152.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 153.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.30 30.3%
2.20 45.5%
2.45 40.8%
2.75 36.4%
3.15 31.8%
2.40 41.7%
2.70 37.0%
2.35 42.6%
2.85 35.1%
1.45 69.0%
3.20 31.3%
2.70 37.0%
2.35 42.6%
2.60 38.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 152.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 153.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 154.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 155.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 156.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 157.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 158.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 159.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 160.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 161.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 162.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 163.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 164.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 165.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 166.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 167.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 168.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 169.5 3.40 29.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
7.70 13.0%
Match center
Connecticut Sun
L L
28.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun 61:71 Portland FirePortland Fire
19.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun 82:83 Portland FirePortland Fire
0 Wins
2 Losses
71.5 Scored
77.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Los Angeles Sparks
L W
17.05 23:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks 96:106 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
16.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks 99:95 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
97.5 Scored
100.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage