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WNBA
WNBA USA
08.06.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
08.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty

USA Basketball
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
80 : 89
Finished
New York Liberty
New York Liberty

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty June 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: New York Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 8.00 / 2 1.13

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 1.0%
1 12.4%
2 87.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Connecticut Sun
#7GP 194-15
New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

34Wins39
46.6%Win %53.4%
76.8Points per game76.3
86.4Offensive rating80.5
85.7Defensive rating81.1
0.6Point differential-0.6
54.4Assists64.0
113.2Rebounds111.6
31.9%3-pointers, %33.7%

Team form

Connecticut Sun
Overall LLWLL Net -24.3
Home WL Net -20.0
Away LLLL Net -26.5
New York Liberty

Coach: Sandra Anne Brondello

Overall WWWWL Net +9.8
Home WWWWL Net +8.3
Away W Net +14.0

Team stats

Connecticut Sun Overall · Home/Away New York Liberty
16.7%H 25.0% · A 12.5%Win %63.6%H 62.5% · A 66.7%
-24.3H -20.0 · A -26.5Point differential9.8H 8.3 · A 14.0
75.9H 82.3 · A 72.8Points per game87.2H 83.1 · A 98.0
88.1H 92.3 · A 86.0Conceded82.3H 79.0 · A 91.0
40.8%H 39.0% · A 41.8%FG, %44.3%H 42.1% · A 50.0%
41.7H 50.0 · A 37.51st half63.6H 50.0
82.2H 85.5 · A 80.6Pace81.4H 80.4 · A 83.9
92.4H 87.1 · A 95.2Offensive rating107.8H 109.4 · A 103.8
107.1H 101.1 · A 110.5Defensive rating101.8H 103.3 · A 97.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) New York Liberty
75.9 Points per game 87.2
50.0%
O 78.5
63.6%
50.0%
O 79.5
63.6%
33.3%
O 80.5
63.6%
33.3%
O 81.5srednee
63.6%
16.7%
O 82.5
63.6%
16.7%
O 83.5
54.5%
8.3%
O 84.5
45.5%
8.3%
O 85.5
45.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) New York Liberty
0.0%
O 101.5
9.1%
0.0%
O 102.5
9.1%
0.0%
O 103.5
9.1%
0.0%
O 104.5
9.1%
0.0%
O 105.5
9.1%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Connecticut Sun — / New York Liberty 43.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) New York Liberty
50.0%
O 40.5
45.5%
50.0%
O 41.5
45.5%
41.7%
O 42.5
36.4%
41.7%
O 43.5srednee
36.4%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Connecticut Sun — / New York Liberty 42.6

Connecticut Sun Total (over) New York Liberty
16.7%
O 40.5
63.6%
16.7%
O 41.5
45.5%
16.7%
O 42.5srednee
27.3%
16.7%
O 43.5
27.3%

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Match center
Start 08.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty

Form 0/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 market consensus · line only
1 6.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) BetBoom Betfair
1.80 55.6% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 6.40 15.6% 8.00 12.5%
2.03 49.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
New York Liberty
W L
03.06 23:30 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 97:82 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
26.05 00:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 74:81 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
1 Losses
85.5 Scored
81.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage