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WNBA
WNBA USA
10.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Connecticut Sun - Seattle Storm

USA Basketball
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
82 : 89
Finished
Seattle Storm
Seattle Storm

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut Sun - Seattle Storm May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Seattle Storm. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 8.6%
2 91.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Connecticut Sun
#7GP 142-12
Seattle Storm
#8GP 205-15

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Connecticut Sun
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
points for 77.3points against 85.8
Seattle Storm
3-2WWLWL
points for 84.0points against 86.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Connecticut Sun - Seattle Storm

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 2.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1.00 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 155.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Over 159.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.95 51.3% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.91 52.4% —
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 160.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
Over 161.5 1.91 52.4% —
Over 162.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Over 163.5 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%
Over 164 1.91 52.4% —
Over 164.5 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9%
Over 165 1.91 52.4% —
Over 165.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 160.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 161.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 163.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 164 1.91 52.4% —
Under 164.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 165 1.91 52.4% —
Under 165.5 1.91 52.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
3.10 32.3% 1.73 57.8% 34.00 2.9% 1.05 95.7% 30.00 3.3% 1.01 99.0% 6.78 14.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8%
1.33 75.0% 2.16 46.4% 1.01 99.5% 10.00 10.0% 1.63 61.4% 17.00 5.9% 6.15 16.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3%