Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
WNBA
WNBA International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

WNBA

Connecticut Sun (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

International Basketball
Connecticut Sun (w)
Connecticut Sun (w)
- : -
Not started
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)

Connecticut Sun (w) take on Phoenix Mercury (w) on August 7, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Connecticut Sun (w) 0-0-5, Phoenix Mercury (w) 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut Sun (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w) August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Phoenix Mercury (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / 2 1.44

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 34.0%
2 66.0%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

28Wins20
83.0Points on average80.8

Head-to-head matches: 48 · average total 163.8 (points)

Team form

Connecticut Sun (w)
3-7WLLWWLLLLL
points for 80.6points against 88.8
Phoenix Mercury (w)
4-6LLLLWWWLWL
points for 85.9points against 92.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 07.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 34.0% @ 2.80 / 2 66.0% @ 1.44
Match center

Connecticut Sun (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.44 Fonbet · line only
1 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 167.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 168.5 1.56 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.37 42.2%
2.23 44.8%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.51 66.2%
3.05 32.8%
1.51 66.2%
1.58 63.3%
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
2.37 42.2%
1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 167.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 168.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 169.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 170.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 171.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 172.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 173.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 174.5 1.96 51.0%
Over 175.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 176.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 177.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 167.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 168.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 169.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 170.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 171.5 1.96 51.0%
Under 172.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 173.5 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.80 35.7%
1.44 69.4%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyConnecticut Sun (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Connecticut Sun (w)
3 matches total
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Connecticut Sun (w): 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Phoenix Mercury (w): 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Konnektikut (zh) 96:81 (18.07 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 179 goals (83:96, 2026-07-18) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-19 WNBA 2026
Phoenix Mercury (w) 72:63 Connecticut Sun (w)
2026-07-18 WNBA 2026
Phoenix Mercury (w) 83:96 Connecticut Sun (w)
18.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Konnektikut (zh)
96:81
Finiks (zh)