WNBA
Connecticut Sun (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)
Connecticut Sun (w) take on Phoenix Mercury (w) on August 7, 2026 in the WNBA, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Connecticut Sun (w) 0-0-5, Phoenix Mercury (w) 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Connecticut Sun (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w) August 7, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / 2 1.44
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Connecticut Sun (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.37 42.2% | |
| 2.23 44.8% | |
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 1.51 66.2% | |
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| 1.51 66.2% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | |
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| 2.37 42.2% | |
| 1.33 75.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 167.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 168.5 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Over 169.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 170.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 171.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 172.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 173.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 174.5 | 1.96 51.0% |
| Over 175.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 176.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 177.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 167.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 168.5 | 2.27 44.1% |
| Under 169.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 170.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 171.5 | 1.96 51.0% |
| Under 172.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Under 173.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| 1.44 69.4% |
Full head-to-head historyConnecticut Sun (w) - Phoenix Mercury (w)
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form