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WNBA USA

12.06.2026 01:00 UTC Match prediction

12.06.2026 01:00 UTC

Finished

WNBA

Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury

USA Basketball

Dallas Wings

85 : 70

Finished

Phoenix Mercury

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury June 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Dallas Wings. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 0.7%

1 69.0%

2 31.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Dallas Wings

#4GP 1911-8

Phoenix Mercury

#7GP 207-13

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

25Wins40

38.5%Win %61.5%

82.0Points per game86.9

95.2Offensive rating93.7

101.0Defensive rating88.4

-4.9Point differential4.9

59.1Assists65.8

124.8Rebounds103.3

31.6%3-pointers, %32.5%

Team form

Dallas Wings

Overall LWWWW Net +7.3

Home WWW Net +18.0

Away LWW Net -1.7

Phoenix Mercury

Overall LWWLL Net -6.9

Home LL Net -18.8

Away LWWL Net +0.5

Team stats

Dallas Wings Overall · Home/Away Phoenix Mercury

63.6%H 60.0% · A 66.7%Win %30.8%H 20.0% · A 37.5%

7.3H 18.0 · A -1.7Point differential-6.9H -18.8 · A 0.5

88.2H 84.8 · A 91.0Points per game81.6H 86.0 · A 78.9

84.6H 75.8 · A 91.8Conceded85.1H 95.4 · A 78.6

45.2%H 43.0% · A 47.0%FG, %41.1%H 39.0% · A 42.4%

45.5H 80.0 · A 16.71st half53.9H 40.0 · A 62.5

80.9H 78.2 · A 83.2Pace80.4H 83.0 · A 78.8

108.8H 112.0 · A 106.3Offensive rating101.6H 97.5 · A 104.3

104.4H 107.4 · A 102.0Defensive rating105.9H 101.6 · A 108.7

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Dallas Wings Total (over) Phoenix Mercury

88.2 Points per game 81.6

63.6%

O 81.5

38.5%

63.6%

O 82.5

38.5%

63.6%

O 83.5

38.5%

63.6%

O 84.5srednee

30.8%

63.6%

O 85.5

30.8%

54.5%

O 86.5

30.8%

54.5%

O 87.5

30.8%

54.5%

O 88.5

23.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Dallas Wings Total (over) Phoenix Mercury

18.2%

O 101.5

0.0%

18.2%

O 102.5

0.0%

18.2%

O 103.5

0.0%

9.1%

O 104.5

0.0%

9.1%

O 105.5

0.0%

9.1%

O 106.5

0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Dallas Wings 42.8 / Phoenix Mercury 40.6

Dallas Wings Total (over) Phoenix Mercury

54.5%

O 40.5

53.8%

45.5%

O 41.5srednee

53.8%

45.5%

O 42.5

53.8%

36.4%

O 43.5

38.5%

2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Dallas Wings 45.4 / Phoenix Mercury 41.0

Dallas Wings Total (over) Phoenix Mercury

63.6%

O 41.5

46.2%

63.6%

O 42.5

46.2%

54.5%

O 43.5srednee

38.5%

54.5%

O 44.5

38.5%

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Match center

Start 12.06.2026 01:00 UTC

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