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WNBA
WNBA International
02.08.2026 23:00 UTC
02.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

International

Dallas Wings (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

International Basketball
Dallas Wings (w)
Dallas Wings (w)
- : -
Not started
Connecticut Sun (w)
Connecticut Sun (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Connecticut Sun (w) — 60%

1 · Dallas Wings (w)40.1%
market82%
2 · Connecticut Sun (w) ✓ Pick59.9%
market18%

Model estimate: win Dallas Wings (w) 40.1%, win Connecticut Sun (w) 59.9%. Model favourite — Connecticut Sun (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dallas Wings (w) - Connecticut Sun (w) August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dallas Wings (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / 2 5.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 81.9%
2 ✓ Pick 18.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.16 → 1.16
Pobeditel P2 5.25 → 5.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 81.9% @ 1.16 / 2 18.1% @ 5.25
Form 6 matches
Match center

Dallas Wings (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dallas Wings (w) 81.9% 40.1% market favourite
Connecticut Sun (w) 18.1% 59.9% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 40.1% / 59.9% probabilities
Rating 1,297 / 1,691 Dallas Wings (w) / Connecticut Sun (w)
RD 213 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 870-1,723 / 1,278-2,105 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.25 Fonbet · weak value +214.5% · model 59.9%
1 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 40.1%
Total
Over 167.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 168.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.96 51.0%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 2.23 44.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.96 51.0%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 1.51 66.2%
— — 1.44 69.4%
— — 2.37 42.2%
— — 2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 167.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 168.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 169.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 170.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 171.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 172.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 173.5 — — 1.94 51.6%
Over 174.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Over 175.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 176.5 — — 2.23 44.8%
Over 177.5 — — 2.33 42.9%
Under 167.5 — — 2.33 42.9%
Under 168.5 — — 2.23 44.8%
Under 169.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 172.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
6.30 15.9% 6.30 15.9% 5.25 19.1% 5.40 18.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDallas Wings (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

Dallas Wings (w)
1 matches total
Connecticut Sun (w)
Dallas Wings (w): 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Connecticut Sun (w): 0 (0%)
Biggest win Dallas Wings (w) 83:86 (2026-07-03) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 169 goals (83:86, 2026-07-03) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-03 WNBA 2026
Connecticut Sun (w) 83:86 Dallas Wings (w)