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WNBA
WNBA International
02.08.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
02.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

Dallas Wings (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

International Basketball
Dallas Wings (w)
Dallas Wings (w)
74 : 46
Finished
Connecticut Sun (w)
Connecticut Sun (w)

Dallas Wings (w) go head-to-head with Connecticut Sun (w) on August 2, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dallas Wings (w) 2-0-3, Connecticut Sun (w) 1-0-4. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 80% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dallas Wings (w) — 80%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dallas Wings (w)): model 40% · market 84% Δ −44 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dallas Wings (w) ✓ Pick80.2%
market84%
2 · Connecticut Sun (w)19.8%
market16%

Model estimate: win Dallas Wings (w) 80.2%, win Connecticut Sun (w) 19.8%. Model favourite — Dallas Wings (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dallas Wings (w) - Connecticut Sun (w) August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dallas Wings (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Dallas Wings (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Dallas Wings (w) 80.2% / Connecticut Sun (w) 19.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 4 books · best price +3.5%
1 ✓ Pick 84.2%
2 15.9%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.16 ↑ 1.20
Winner 2 5.25 ↓ 4.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 90.7% @ 1.03 / 2 9.3% @ 10.00
Form 6 matches
Match center

Dallas Wings (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 74:46
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 80.2% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.079 / LogLoss 0.221
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 62.1% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.288 / LogLoss 0.477
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 62.1% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.288 / LogLoss 0.477
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 62.1% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.288 / LogLoss 0.477
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dallas Wings (w) 83.2% 80.2% market and model agree
Connecticut Sun (w) 16.8% 19.8%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 80.2% / 19.8% probabilities
Rating 1,297 / 1,691 Dallas Wings (w) / Connecticut Sun (w)
RD 213 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 870-1,723 / 1,278-2,105 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 19.8%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 80.2%
Total
Over 144.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 145.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —
1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% —
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% —
1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —
— — 2.65 37.7%
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 2.25 44.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 144.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 145.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 146.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 147.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 148.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 149.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 150.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 151.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
Over 152.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 153.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 170.5 1.94 51.6% 1.94 51.6% —
Over 172.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 170.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% —
Under 172.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.03 97.1% 1.17 85.5%
6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 10.00 10.0% 5.40 18.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDallas Wings (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

Dallas Wings (w)
1 matches total
Connecticut Sun (w)
Dallas Wings (w): 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Connecticut Sun (w): 0 (0%)
Biggest win Dallas Wings (w) 83:86 (2026-07-03) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 169 goals (83:86, 2026-07-03) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-03 WNBA 2026
Connecticut Sun (w) 83:86 Dallas Wings (w)