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WNBA
WNBA USA
26.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Golden State Valkyries (w) - Connecticut Sun

USA Basketball
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
97 : 70
Finished
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Golden State Valkyries (w) - Connecticut Sun May 26, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Golden State Valkyries (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 91.1%
2 8.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Golden State Valkyries (w)
#3GP 138-5
Connecticut Sun
#7GP 142-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Golden State Valkyries (w)
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
points for 79.9points against 75.5
Connecticut Sun
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
points for 77.3points against 85.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 26.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Golden State Valkyries (w) - Connecticut Sun

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 149.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 150.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.35 42.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.25 44.4%
2.02 49.5%
1.93 51.8%
2.50 40.0%
2.50 40.0%
2.35 42.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.45 40.8%
2.70 37.0%
2.75 36.4%
2.40 41.7%
2.80 35.7%
2.45 40.8%
2.95 33.9%
1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 149.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 150.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 151.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 152.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 153.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 154.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 155.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 156.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 157.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 158.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 159.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 160.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 161.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 162.5 3.65 27.4%
Over 163.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 164.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 165.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 166.5 2.35 42.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
10.50 9.5%
Match center
Connecticut Sun
L
19.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun 82:83 Portland FirePortland Fire
0 Wins
1 Losses
82.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage