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WNBA
WNBA International
03.08.2026 00:30 UTC
03.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

WNBA

International

Golden State Valkyries (w) - Toronto (w)

International Basketball
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
- : -
Not started
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Golden State Valkyries (w) — 82%

Pure model vs market (1 · Golden State Valkyries (w)): model 63% · market 83% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Golden State Valkyries (w) ✓ Pick82.0%
market83%
2 · Toronto (w)18.0%
market17%

Model estimate: win Golden State Valkyries (w) 82.0%, win Toronto (w) 18.0%. Model favourite — Golden State Valkyries (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Golden State Valkyries (w) - Toronto (w) August 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Golden State Valkyries (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / 2 5.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 ✓ Pick 83.3%
2 16.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.14 → 1.14
Pobeditel P2 5.70 → 5.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 83.3% @ 1.14 / 2 16.7% @ 5.70
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Golden State Valkyries (w) - Toronto (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Golden State Valkyries (w) 83.5% 82.0% market and model agree
Toronto (w) 16.6% 18.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 82.0% / 18.0% probabilities
Rating 1,533 / 1,017 Golden State Valkyries (w) / Toronto (w)
RD 206 / 190 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,121-1,946 / 637-1,397 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.70 Fonbet · no value · model 18.0%
1 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 82.0%
Total
Over 161.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 162.5 1.56 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.96 51.0%
— — 2.07 48.3%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 1.96 51.0%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 1.51 66.2%
— — 1.44 69.4%
— — 2.37 42.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 161.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 162.5 — — 1.56 64.1%
Over 163.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 164.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 165.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 166.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 167.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.88 53.2%
Over 168.5 — — 1.96 51.0%
Over 169.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
Over 170.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 171.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 161.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 162.5 — — 2.27 44.1%
Under 163.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 167.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 5.70 17.5% 6.00 16.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGolden State Valkyries (w) - Toronto (w)

Golden State Valkyries (w)
2 matches total
Toronto (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w): 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Toronto (w): 1 (50%)
Biggest win Golden Steyt (zh) 83:73 (08.07 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 158 goals (75:83, 2026-07-08) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-08 WNBA 2026
Toronto (w) 75:83 Golden State Valkyries (w)
08.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
Golden Steyt (zh)
83:73
Toronto (zh)