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WNBA
WNBA USA
11.06.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Indiana Fever - Chicago Sky

USA Basketball
Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever
114 : 106
Finished
Chicago Sky
Chicago Sky

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Indiana Fever - Chicago Sky June 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Indiana Fever. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Indiana Fever
#3GP 138-5
Chicago Sky
#6GP 196-13

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

43Wins29
59.7%Win %40.3%
80.4Points per game78.1
89.3Offensive rating86.2
86.7Defensive rating88.8
2.4Point differential-2.4
65.6Assists61.9
111.4Rebounds114.4
34.4%3-pointers, %35.6%

Team form

Indiana Fever
Overall WLWLL Net +5.1
Home WW Net +14.3
Away WLLL Net -6.0
Chicago Sky
Overall LLWLL Net -10.8
Home LWL Net -16.7
Away LLW Net -5.0

Team stats

Indiana Fever Overall · Home/Away Chicago Sky
54.6%H 66.7% · A 40.0%Win %33.3%H 16.7% · A 50.0%
5.1H 14.3 · A -6.0Point differential-10.8H -16.7 · A -5.0
88.2H 93.0 · A 82.4Points per game80.2H 81.0 · A 79.3
85.6H 85.8 · A 85.4Conceded85.6H 89.3 · A 81.8
44.4%H 45.7% · A 42.8%FG, %41.0%H 40.8% · A 41.2%
54.6H 50.0 · A 60.01st half33.3H 33.3 · A 33.3
84.8H 86.7 · A 82.5Pace83.5H 83.6 · A 83.4
102.7H 100.3 · A 105.8Offensive rating96.7H 96.0 · A 97.4
99.8H 97.4 · A 102.7Defensive rating103.2H 102.5 · A 103.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Indiana Fever Total (over) Chicago Sky
88.2 Points per game 80.2
81.8%
O 80.5
50.0%
81.8%
O 81.5
50.0%
81.8%
O 82.5
50.0%
72.7%
O 83.5
41.7%
63.6%
O 84.5srednee
41.7%
63.6%
O 85.5
33.3%
63.6%
O 86.5
25.0%
54.5%
O 87.5
25.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Indiana Fever Total (over) Chicago Sky
18.2%
O 101.5
8.3%
9.1%
O 102.5
8.3%
9.1%
O 103.5
8.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Indiana Fever 43.9 / Chicago Sky —

Indiana Fever Total (over) Chicago Sky
54.5%
O 40.5
33.3%
54.5%
O 41.5
33.3%
54.5%
O 42.5
25.0%
45.5%
O 43.5srednee
16.7%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Indiana Fever 43.1 / Chicago Sky 41.8

Indiana Fever Total (over) Chicago Sky
54.5%
O 40.5
58.3%
54.5%
O 41.5
58.3%
54.5%
O 42.5srednee
50.0%
54.5%
O 43.5
50.0%

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Match center
Start 11.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Indiana Fever - Chicago Sky

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Over 161.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.92 52.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%
1.65 60.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
2.02 49.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.82 55.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.57 63.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 161.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 162.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 163.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 164.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 165.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 166.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 168.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 169.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 170.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 171.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 172.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 173.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 174.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 175.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 176.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 177.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet
1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.04 96.2%
4.75 21.1% 4.50 22.2% 5.20 19.2% 8.50 11.8%
Match center
Indiana Fever
L
31.05 00:00 UTC WNBA
Indiana Fever 84:100 Portland FirePortland Fire
0 Wins
1 Losses
84.0 Scored
100.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Chicago Sky
L
07.06 19:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky 68:85 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
68.0 Scored
85.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage