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WNBA
WNBA USA
28.06.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
28.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Indiana Fever - Los Angeles Sparks

USA Basketball
Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever
109 : 78
Finished
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles Sparks
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Indiana Fever (odds1.01) Score 82:78 confidence 66% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Indiana Fever: probability 66%.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Indiana Fever - Los Angeles Sparks June 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Indiana Fever. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 13.00
  • Total 2.5: over probability 0.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 92.8%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 5/5
Confidence 70.1%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Indiana Fever
#3GP 138-5
Los Angeles Sparks
#5GP 137-6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

14Wins31
31.1%Win %68.9%
77.4Points per game81.9
84.4Offensive rating82.5
89.2Defensive rating78.0
-4.4Point differential4.4
60.0Assists56.4
112.4Rebounds102.9
33.8%3-pointers, %37.1%

Team form

Indiana Fever
Overall LWLLW Net +5.7
Home LWLW Net +13.3
Away LW Net -6.3
Los Angeles Sparks
Overall WLLWW Net -5.9
Home WLW Net -12.9
Away LWW Net +3.1

Team stats

Indiana Fever Overall · Home/Away Los Angeles Sparks
55.6%H 63.6% · A 42.9%Win %50.0%H 33.3% · A 71.4%
5.7H 13.3 · A -6.3Point differential-5.9H -12.9 · A 3.1
93.0H 98.3 · A 84.7Points per game88.4H 87.3 · A 89.7
90.2H 91.6 · A 87.9Conceded91.3H 93.8 · A 88.1
46.6%H 47.8% · A 44.6%FG, %45.6%H 46.3% · A 44.6%
61.1H 54.6 · A 71.41st half25.0H 22.2 · A 28.6
85.6H 87.2 · A 83.0Pace83.5H 83.4 · A 83.6
107.9H 106.0 · A 111.2Offensive rating105.8H 105.7 · A 106.0
104.7H 102.8 · A 107.8Defensive rating109.3H 109.2 · A 109.5

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Indiana Fever Total (over) Los Angeles Sparks
93.0 Points per game 88.4
61.1%
O 87.5
62.5%
55.6%
O 88.5
56.3%
50.0%
O 89.5
50.0%
38.9%
O 90.5srednee
50.0%
38.9%
O 91.5
50.0%
38.9%
O 92.5
43.8%
38.9%
O 93.5
43.8%
38.9%
O 94.5
43.8%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Indiana Fever Total (over) Los Angeles Sparks
22.2%
O 103.5
6.3%
16.7%
O 104.5
6.3%
16.7%
O 105.5
6.3%
16.7%
O 106.5
6.3%
16.7%
O 107.5
6.3%
16.7%
O 108.5
6.3%
11.1%
O 109.5
6.3%
11.1%
O 110.5
6.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Indiana Fever 46.3 / Los Angeles Sparks 41.8

Indiana Fever Total (over) Los Angeles Sparks
66.7%
O 42.5
37.5%
61.1%
O 43.5
31.3%
55.6%
O 44.5srednee
31.3%
55.6%
O 45.5
31.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Indiana Fever 45.1 / Los Angeles Sparks 45.8

Indiana Fever Total (over) Los Angeles Sparks
61.1%
O 43.5
68.8%
55.6%
O 44.5
62.5%
44.4%
O 45.5srednee
56.3%
44.4%
O 46.5
50.0%

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Match center
Start 28.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Indiana Fever - Los Angeles Sparks

Form 0/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 109:78
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Indiana Fever 67.8% - market favourite
Draw 0.0% -
Los Angeles Sparks 32.2% -
Total 2.5 Over 0.0% - Under 0.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.00
Thin market consensus Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.97 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.97 50.8%
2.45 40.8%
2.25 44.4%
2.30 43.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.25 44.4%
2.35 42.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.02 49.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.37 42.2%
2.30 43.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.10 47.6%
3.00 33.3%
2.60 38.5%
2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 101.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 102.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 103.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 104.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 106.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 107.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 109.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 112.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 113.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 115.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 174.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 175.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 176.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 177.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 178.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 179.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 180.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
13.00 7.7%
Match center
Indiana Fever
Founded 1904
Los Angeles Sparks
Founded 1914
Match center
Los Angeles Sparks
L W
25.06 23:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks 97:125 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
07.06 23:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks 89:72 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
1 Losses
93.0 Scored
98.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIndiana Fever - Los Angeles Sparks

Indiana Fever
1 matches total
Los Angeles Sparks
Indiana Fever: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Los Angeles Sparks: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Indiana Fever 87:78 (14.05 02:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 165 goals (87:78, 14.05 02:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

14.05 02:30 UTC WNBA
Indiana Fever
87:78
Los Angeles Sparks
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.