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WNBA
WNBA International
06.08.2026 23:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 23:00 UTC
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WNBA

Indiana Fever (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w)

International Basketball
Indiana Fever (w)
Indiana Fever (w)
- : -
Not started
Las Vegas Aces (w)
Las Vegas Aces (w)

Indiana Fever (w) go head-to-head with Las Vegas Aces (w) on August 6, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Indiana Fever (w) 4-0-1, Las Vegas Aces (w) 3-0-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Indiana Fever (w) — 53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Indiana Fever (w)): model 52% · market 53% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Indiana Fever (w)52.6%
2 · Las Vegas Aces (w)47.4%

Model estimate: win Indiana Fever (w) 52.6%, win Las Vegas Aces (w) 47.4%. Model favourite — Indiana Fever (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Indiana Fever (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w) August 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Indiana Fever (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.80 / 2 2.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 4 books · best price +1.7%
1 52.6%
2 47.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.80 → 1.80
Winner P2 2.00 → 2.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 52.6% @ 1.80 / 2 47.4% @ 2.00
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Indiana Fever (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Indiana Fever (w) 52.6% 52.6% market and model agree
Las Vegas Aces (w) 47.4% 47.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 52.6% / 47.4% probabilities
Rating 1,817 / 1,824 Indiana Fever (w) / Las Vegas Aces (w)
RD 160 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,496-2,137 / 1,520-2,127 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 Fonbet · no value · model 47.4%
1 1.80 Fonbet · no value · model 52.6%
Total
Over 188.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 189.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.96 51.0%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 2.23 44.8%
— — 2.37 42.2%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 2.23 44.8%
— — 2.37 42.2%
— — 2.77 36.1%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 1.51 66.2%
— — 1.44 69.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 188.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 189.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 190.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 191.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 192.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 193.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 194.5 — — 1.94 51.6%
Over 195.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Over 196.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 197.5 — — 2.23 44.8%
Over 198.5 — — 2.33 42.9%
Under 188.5 — — 2.33 42.9%
Under 189.5 — — 2.23 44.8%
Under 190.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 193.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIndiana Fever (w) - Las Vegas Aces (w)

Indiana Fever (w)
2 matches total
Las Vegas Aces (w)
Indiana Fever (w): 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Las Vegas Aces (w): 1 (50%)
Biggest win Indiana Fever (w) 75:109 (2026-07-13) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 184 goals (75:109, 2026-07-13) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-13 WNBA 2026
Las Vegas Aces (w) 75:109 Indiana Fever (w)
13.07 01:00 UTC WNBA
Indiana (zh)
107:75
Las Vegas (zh)