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WNBA
WNBA USA
24.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Las Vegas Aces - Los Angeles Sparks

USA Basketball
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
95 : 101
Finished
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles Sparks

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Vegas Aces - Los Angeles Sparks May 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Los Angeles Sparks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.05 / 2 1.38

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 31.2%
2 68.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 1914-5
Los Angeles Sparks
#5GP 137-6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Las Vegas Aces
3-2LWWLW
points for 90.7points against 86.4
Los Angeles Sparks
2-3LWLLW
points for 93.0points against 90.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 24.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Las Vegas Aces - Los Angeles Sparks

Form 0/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 Fonbet · line only
1 3.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.97 50.8%
1.95 51.3%
2.08 48.1%
2.50 40.0%
1.35 74.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.32 75.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.32 75.8%
1.37 73.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 101.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 102.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 104.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 105.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 175.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 176.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 177.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 178.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 179.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 180.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 181.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 182.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 183.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 184.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 185.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 186.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 187.5 1.30 76.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.05 32.8%
1.38 72.5%
Match center
Los Angeles Sparks
L W
17.05 23:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks 96:106 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
16.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks 99:95 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
97.5 Scored
100.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLas Vegas Aces - Los Angeles Sparks

Las Vegas Aces
1 matches total
Los Angeles Sparks
Las Vegas Aces: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Los Angeles Sparks: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Las Vegas Aces 105:78 (10.05 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 183 goals (105:78, 10.05 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

10.05 22:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces
105:78
Los Angeles Sparks