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WNBA
WNBA USA
14.06.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Las Vegas Aces - Minnesota Lynx

USA Basketball
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
100 : 97
Finished
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Vegas Aces - Minnesota Lynx June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Las Vegas Aces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 4.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 76.6%
2 23.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 1914-5
Minnesota Lynx
#1GP 1915-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

24Wins45
34.8%Win %65.2%
78.3Points per game83.1
85.5Offensive rating96.2
90.9Defensive rating90.5
-4.9Point differential4.9
64.3Assists67.9
106.9Rebounds116.0
34.4%3-pointers, %36.1%

Team form

Las Vegas Aces

Coach: Becky Hammon

Overall WWWWL Net +9.5
Home WWL Net -12.0
Away WWL Net +21.7
Minnesota Lynx
Overall WWWWW Net +25.8
Home WWWW Net +23.4
Away WW Net +29.2

Team stats

Las Vegas Aces Overall · Home/Away Minnesota Lynx
72.7%H 50.0% · A 85.7%Win %83.3%H 71.4% · A 100.0%
9.5H -12.0 · A 21.7Point differential25.8H 23.4 · A 29.2
90.2H 86.5 · A 92.3Points per game91.1H 91.4 · A 90.6
85.5H 92.5 · A 81.4Conceded78.2H 79.7 · A 76.0
48.0%H 44.0% · A 50.3%FG, %50.2%H 49.6% · A 51.0%
—H 75.01st half66.7H 71.4 · A 60.0
84.0H 82.9 · A 84.6Pace82.5H 82.1 · A 83.2
108.2H 109.0 · A 107.8Offensive rating111.0H 111.0 · A 111.0
102.5H 103.3 · A 102.1Defensive rating95.3H 95.3 · A 95.3

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Las Vegas Aces Total (over) Minnesota Lynx
90.2 Points per game 91.1
54.5%
O 87.5
66.7%
54.5%
O 88.5
50.0%
54.5%
O 89.5
50.0%
54.5%
O 90.5srednee
33.3%
45.5%
O 91.5
33.3%
45.5%
O 92.5
33.3%
45.5%
O 93.5
33.3%
45.5%
O 94.5
33.3%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Las Vegas Aces Total (over) Minnesota Lynx
9.1%
O 102.5
8.3%
9.1%
O 103.5
8.3%
9.1%
O 104.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 105.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 106.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 107.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 108.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 109.5
8.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Las Vegas Aces 45.7 / Minnesota Lynx 46.9

Las Vegas Aces Total (over) Minnesota Lynx
54.5%
O 44.5
50.0%
54.5%
O 45.5
41.7%
54.5%
O 46.5srednee
41.7%
54.5%
O 47.5
41.7%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Las Vegas Aces 44.5 / Minnesota Lynx 44.2

Las Vegas Aces Total (over) Minnesota Lynx
63.6%
O 42.5
66.7%
54.5%
O 43.5
58.3%
54.5%
O 44.5srednee
50.0%
54.5%
O 45.5
41.7%

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Las Vegas Aces - Minnesota Lynx

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
2.60 38.5%
2.25 44.4%
2.40 41.7%
2.50 40.0%
1.42 70.4%
1.30 76.9%
1.50 66.7%
1.42 70.4%
1.50 66.7%
3.00 33.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.20 45.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 101.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 102.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 166.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 168.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 169.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 170.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 171.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 172.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 173.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 174.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 175.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 176.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 177.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 178.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 179.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 180.5 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet
1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.25 80.0%
2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.44 41.0% 4.10 24.4%
Match center
Las Vegas Aces
W
12.06 02:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces 105:89 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
0 Losses
105.0 Scored
89.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage