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WNBA
WNBA USA
09.06.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Las Vegas Aces - Seattle Storm

USA Basketball
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
101 : 91
Finished
Seattle Storm
Seattle Storm

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Vegas Aces - Seattle Storm June 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Las Vegas Aces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 90.7%
2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 1914-5
Seattle Storm
#8GP 205-15

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

38Wins39
49.4%Win %50.7%
77.8Points per game78.3
85.7Offensive rating87.8
86.2Defensive rating87.2
-0.5Point differential0.5
61.7Assists58.8
119.0Rebounds112.1
38.5%3-pointers, %34.2%

Team form

Las Vegas Aces

Coach: Becky Hammon

Overall WWWLL Net +8.4
Home WL Net -22.7
Away WWLW Net +21.7
Seattle Storm
Overall LLLLL Net -13.7
Home LL Net -0.3
Away LLLL Net -27.0

Team stats

Las Vegas Aces Overall · Home/Away Seattle Storm
70.0%H 33.3% · A 85.7%Win %25.0%H 33.3% · A 16.7%
8.4H -22.7 · A 21.7Point differential-13.7H -0.3 · A -27.0
89.1H 81.7 · A 92.3Points per game75.0H 77.3 · A 72.7
84.9H 93.0 · A 81.4Conceded81.8H 77.5 · A 86.2
47.8%H 42.0% · A 50.3%FG, %39.4%H 40.3% · A 38.5%
—H 66.71st half25.0H 33.3 · A 16.7
84.1H 83.0 · A 84.6Pace80.5H 78.3 · A 82.6
106.7H 107.2 · A 106.5Offensive rating92.7H 94.6 · A 90.9
101.6H 102.1 · A 101.5Defensive rating101.2H 103.2 · A 99.2

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Las Vegas Aces Total (over) Seattle Storm
89.1 Points per game 75.0
90.0%
O 78.5
25.0%
80.0%
O 79.5
25.0%
80.0%
O 80.5
16.7%
80.0%
O 81.5
16.7%
80.0%
O 82.5srednee
16.7%
80.0%
O 83.5
16.7%
70.0%
O 84.5
16.7%
60.0%
O 85.5
16.7%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Las Vegas Aces Total (over) Seattle Storm
10.0%
O 101.5
0.0%
10.0%
O 102.5
0.0%
10.0%
O 103.5
0.0%
10.0%
O 104.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Las Vegas Aces 45.3 / Seattle Storm —

Las Vegas Aces Total (over) Seattle Storm
70.0%
O 40.5
58.3%
70.0%
O 41.5
41.7%
60.0%
O 42.5
41.7%
50.0%
O 43.5srednee
33.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Las Vegas Aces 43.8 / Seattle Storm —

Las Vegas Aces Total (over) Seattle Storm
70.0%
O 40.5
16.7%
70.0%
O 41.5
16.7%
60.0%
O 42.5
16.7%
50.0%
O 43.5srednee
16.7%

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Las Vegas Aces - Seattle Storm

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 157.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.02 49.5%
1.75 57.1%
2.75 36.4%
1.70 58.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.37 73.0%
1.30 76.9%
1.62 61.7%
1.47 68.0%
1.37 73.0%
1.60 62.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.44 69.4%
3.05 32.8%
2.45 40.8%
2.20 45.5%
1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 157.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 158.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 159.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 160.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 161.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 162.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 163.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 164.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 165.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 166.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 167.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 168.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 169.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 170.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 171.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 172.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 173.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 174.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet
1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.03 97.1%
9.00 11.1% 9.00 11.1% 10.00 10.0% 10.00 10.0%
Match center
Seattle Storm
L
30.05 17:00 UTC WNBA
Seattle Storm 72:93 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
72.0 Scored
93.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage