WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) - New York Liberty (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Las Vegas Aces (w) — 57%
Pure model vs market (1 · Las Vegas Aces (w)): model 53% · market 59% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Las Vegas Aces (w) 57.3%, win New York Liberty (w) 42.7%. Model favourite — Las Vegas Aces (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Las Vegas (zh): forma PVPV (2)
- • Nyu-York (zh): forma VVPVP (3-2)
- • Model backs Las Vegas (zh): probability 57% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 171.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 171.5 (odds 2.33)
- • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Las Vegas Aces (w) - New York Liberty (w) July 31, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.35
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Las Vegas Aces (w) - New York Liberty (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.80 35.7% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.58 63.3% | |
| — | — | 1.51 66.2% | |
| — | — | 1.44 69.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 171.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 172.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 173.5 | — | — | 1.56 64.1% |
| Over 174.5 | — | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 175.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 176.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 177.5 | — | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 178.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 179.5 | — | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| Over 180.5 | — | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 181.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 182.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 171.5 | — | — | 2.33 42.9% |
| Under 172.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 176.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.64 61.0% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.32 43.1% |
Las Vegas Aces (w)
Vashington (zh)
Toronto (zh)
Portlend (Zh)
New York Liberty (w)
Los-Andzheles (zh)
Chikago (zh)
Full head-to-head historyLas Vegas Aces (w) - New York Liberty (w)
Match history
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The Las Vegas Aces (w) - New York Liberty (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form