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WNBA
WNBA International
29.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

Las Vegas Aces (w) - Portland (w)

International Basketball
Las Vegas Aces (w)
Las Vegas Aces (w)
- : -
Not started
Portland (w)
Portland (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Las Vegas Aces (w)81%

Pure model vs market (1 · Las Vegas Aces (w)): model 64% · market 83% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Las Vegas Aces (w) ✓ Pick81.3%
market83%
2 · Portland (w)18.7%
market17%

Model estimate: win Las Vegas Aces (w) 81.3%, win Portland (w) 18.7%. Model favourite — Las Vegas Aces (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Vegas Aces (w) - Portland (w) July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Las Vegas Aces (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / 2 5.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 ✓ Pick 82.6%
2 17.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.14 ↑ 1.15
Pobeditel P2 5.70 ↓ 5.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Las Vegas Aces (w) - Portland (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Las Vegas Aces (w) 82.6% 81.3% market and model agree
Portland (w) 17.4% 18.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 81.3% / 18.7% probabilities
Rating 1,493 / 757 Las Vegas Aces (w) / Portland (w)
RD 197 / 293 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,098-1,887 / 172-1,343 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.45 Fonbet · no value · model 18.7%
1 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 81.3%
Total
Over 170.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 171.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.64 61.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.42 70.4%
2.37 42.2%
2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 170.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 171.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 172.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 173.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 174.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 175.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 177.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
Over 178.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 179.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 175.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 177.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Under 178.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 179.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.16 86.2% 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0%
5.20 19.2% 6.00 16.7% 5.45 18.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0
2026-07-10 · Las Vegas Eyses (Zh) 88:80 Portlend Fayr (Zh)
2026-06-12 · Las Vegas Eyses (Zh) 105:89 Portlend Fayr (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Las Vegas Aces (w)
L W L W
22.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) 99:100 Vashington (zh)Vashington (zh)
21.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) 109:83 Toronto (zh)Toronto (zh)
13.07 01:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) 75:107 Indiana (zh)
10.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) 88:80 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
2 Wins
2 Losses
92.8 Scored
92.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Portland (w)
L L
23.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Portland (w) 97:101 Dallas (zh)
19.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Portland (w) 91:99 Minnesota (zh)
0 Wins
2 Losses
94.0 Scored
100.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage