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WNBA
WNBA International
31.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

Las Vegas Aces (w) - New York Liberty (w)

International Basketball
Las Vegas Aces (w)
Las Vegas Aces (w)
- : -
Not started
New York Liberty (w)
New York Liberty (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Las Vegas Aces (w)57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Las Vegas Aces (w)): model 53% · market 59% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Las Vegas Aces (w) ✓ Pick57.3%
2 · New York Liberty (w)42.7%

Model estimate: win Las Vegas Aces (w) 57.3%, win New York Liberty (w) 42.7%. Model favourite — Las Vegas Aces (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Las Vegas Aces (w) (odds1.63) Score 81:79 Under 171.5 (odds2.33) Handicap H2 +3.5 (odds1.90) confidence 57%
  • Las Vegas (zh): forma PVPV (2)
  • Nyu-York (zh): forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • Model backs Las Vegas (zh): probability 57% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 171.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 171.5 (odds 2.33)
  • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Vegas Aces (w) - New York Liberty (w) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Las Vegas Aces (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 ✓ Pick 59.5%
2 40.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.65 → 1.65
Pobeditel P2 2.25 → 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Las Vegas Aces (w) - New York Liberty (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Las Vegas Aces (w) 57.7% 57.3% market and model agree
New York Liberty (w) 42.4% 42.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 57.3% / 42.7% probabilities
Rating 1,493 / 1,485 Las Vegas Aces (w) / New York Liberty (w)
RD 197 / 188 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,098-1,887 / 1,109-1,860 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 42.7%
1 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 57.3%
Total
Over 171.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 172.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.67 59.9%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.80 35.7%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.51 66.2%
1.44 69.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 171.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 172.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 173.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 174.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 175.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 176.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.75 57.1%
Over 177.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 178.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 179.5 1.96 51.0%
Over 180.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 181.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 182.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 171.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 172.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 176.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.37 42.2%
Match center
Las Vegas Aces (w)
W L W L W
29.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) 98:83 Portlend (zh)
22.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) 99:100 Vashington (zh)Vashington (zh)
21.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) 109:83 Toronto (zh)Toronto (zh)
13.07 01:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) 75:107 Indiana (zh)
10.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces (w) 88:80 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
93.8 Scored
90.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
New York Liberty (w)
W W W L W
29.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 113:109 Los-Andzheles (zh)Los-Andzheles (zh)
22.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 95:94 Chikago (zh)Chikago (zh)
21.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 99:98 Dallas (zh)
19.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 88:108 Indiana (zh)
17.07 01:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 110:86 Dallas (zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
101.0 Scored
99.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage