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WNBA
WNBA USA
10.05.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces

USA Basketball
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles Sparks
78 : 105
Finished
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Las Vegas Aces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.07 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 47.4%
1 32.8%
2 67.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Los Angeles Sparks
#5GP 137-6
Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 1914-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Los Angeles Sparks
2-3LWLLW
points for 93.0points against 90.2
Las Vegas Aces
3-2LWWLW
points for 90.7points against 86.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 2.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 168.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 169.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 2.01 49.8%
— 1.95 51.3%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.87 53.5%
1.91 52.4% —

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 170.5 — 1.86 53.9%
Over 173.5 — 1.88 53.3%
Over 175.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
Over 176 1.91 52.4% —
Over 176.5 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.2%
Over 177.5 1.91 52.4% 1.81 55.4%
Over 178.5 — 1.98 50.5%
Over 180.5 — 1.86 53.7%
Over 181.5 — 1.99 50.2%
Under 170.5 — 1.94 51.4%
Under 173.5 — 1.93 52.0%
Under 175.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 176 1.91 52.4% —
Under 176.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 177.5 1.91 52.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.4% 21.00 4.8% 1.01 98.8% 28.00 3.6% 1.01 99.0% 50.00 2.0% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3%
1.70 58.8% 1.79 55.7% 1.01 99.0% 17.00 5.9% 1.18 84.8% 17.00 5.9% 10.32 9.7% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Los Angeles Sparks
W
25.04 19:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks 89:63 NIGERIA
1 Wins
0 Losses
89.0 Scored
63.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Las Vegas Aces
W
27.04 00:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces 94:78 JAPAN
1 Wins
0 Losses
94.0 Scored
78.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage