WNBA
WNBA USA
22.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Los Angeles Sparks - New York Liberty

USA Basketball
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles Sparks
98 : 97
Finished
New York Liberty
New York Liberty

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Los Angeles Sparks - New York Liberty June 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Los Angeles Sparks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 63.0%
2 37.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Los Angeles Sparks
#5GP 137-6
New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

21Wins24
79.4Points on average79.0

Head-to-head matches: 45 · average total 158.4 (points)

Team form

Los Angeles Sparks
2-3LWLLW
points for 93.0points against 90.2
New York Liberty
2-3WLLWL
points for 87.8points against 83.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 22.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Los Angeles Sparks - New York Liberty

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 172.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.32 75.8%
2.35 42.6%
2.70 37.0%
1.95 51.3%
2.20 45.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.95 33.9%
2.40 41.7%
2.70 37.0%
2.00 50.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.70 58.8%
3.10 32.3%
2.10 47.6%
2.35 42.6%
2.65 37.7%
1.37 73.0%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 171.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 172.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 173.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 174.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 175.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 176.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 177.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 178.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 179.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 180.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 181.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 182.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 183.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 184.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 185.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 186.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 187.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 188.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
2.55 39.2%
Match center
Los Angeles Sparks
W
07.06 23:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks 89:72 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
0 Losses
89.0 Scored
72.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage