WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) - New York Liberty (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 New York Liberty (w) — 63%
Pure model vs market (2 · New York Liberty (w)): model 59% · market 62% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Los Angeles Sparks (w) 36.8%, win New York Liberty (w) 63.2%. Model favourite — New York Liberty (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Los-Andzheles (zh): forma PPPPV (1-4)
- • Nyu-York (zh): forma VVPVP (3-2)
- • Model backs Nyu-York (zh): probability 59% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 178.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 178.5 (odds 2.33)
- • Handicap F1 +4.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Los Angeles Sparks (w) - New York Liberty (w) July 29, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / 2 1.53
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Los Angeles Sparks (w) - New York Liberty (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | — | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.58 63.3% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| — | — | 1.38 72.5% | |
| — | — | 1.34 74.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.32 75.8% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 177.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 178.5 | — | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 179.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 180.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 181.5 | — | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 182.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 183.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.94 51.6% |
| Over 184.5 | — | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Over 185.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 186.5 | — | — | 2.23 44.8% |
| Over 187.5 | — | — | 2.33 42.9% |
| Over 188.5 | — | — | 2.33 42.9% |
| Over 189.5 | — | — | 2.33 42.9% |
| Over 190.5 | — | — | 2.33 42.9% |
| Under 183.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.65 37.7% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.59 38.6% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% |
Form & head-to-head
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
Chikago (zh)
Atlanta (zh)
Chikago (zh)
New York Liberty (w)
Chikago (zh)
Toronto (zh)
Full head-to-head historyLos Angeles Sparks (w) - New York Liberty (w)
Match history
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The Los Angeles Sparks (w) - New York Liberty (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form