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WNBA
WNBA International
29.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

Los Angeles Sparks (w) - New York Liberty (w)

International Basketball
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
- : -
Not started
New York Liberty (w)
New York Liberty (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 New York Liberty (w)63%

Pure model vs market (2 · New York Liberty (w)): model 59% · market 62% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Los Angeles Sparks (w)36.8%
market38%
2 · New York Liberty (w) ✓ Pick63.2%
market62%

Model estimate: win Los Angeles Sparks (w) 36.8%, win New York Liberty (w) 63.2%. Model favourite — New York Liberty (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2New York Liberty (w) (odds1.52) Score 79:81 Under 178.5 (odds2.33) Handicap H1 +4.5 (odds1.90) confidence 59%
  • Los-Andzheles (zh): forma PPPPV (1-4)
  • Nyu-York (zh): forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • Model backs Nyu-York (zh): probability 59% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 178.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 178.5 (odds 2.33)
  • Handicap F1 +4.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Los Angeles Sparks (w) - New York Liberty (w) July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: New York Liberty (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / 2 1.53

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 38.0%
2 ✓ Pick 62.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.50 → 2.50
Pobeditel P2 1.53 → 1.53

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Los Angeles Sparks (w) - New York Liberty (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 36.5% 36.8%
New York Liberty (w) 63.5% 63.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 36.8% / 63.2% probabilities
Rating 1,147 / 1,485 Los Angeles Sparks (w) / New York Liberty (w)
RD 196 / 188 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 755-1,539 / 1,109-1,860 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.53 Fonbet · no value · model 63.2%
1 2.50 Fonbet · no value · model 36.8%
Total
Over 177.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 178.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.96 51.0%
1.38 72.5%
1.34 74.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.32 75.8%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 177.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 178.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 179.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 180.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 181.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 182.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 183.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
Over 184.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 185.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 186.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 187.5 2.33 42.9%
Over 188.5 2.33 42.9%
Over 189.5 2.33 42.9%
Over 190.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 183.5 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.59 38.6%
1.48 67.6% 1.46 68.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-7
2026-06-22 · Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh) 98:97 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
2025-08-13 · Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh) 97:105 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
2025-07-26 · Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh) 101:99 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
2025-07-03 · Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh) 79:89 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
2024-08-29 · Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh) 94:88 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
L L L L W
22.07 19:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 82:86 Finiks (zh)
17.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 80:94 Chikago (zh)Chikago (zh)
15.07 17:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 87:96 Minnesota (zh)
13.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 92:101 Atlanta (zh)Atlanta (zh)
11.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 102:87 Chikago (zh)Chikago (zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
88.6 Scored
92.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
New York Liberty (w)
W W L W L
22.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 95:94 Chikago (zh)Chikago (zh)
21.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 99:98 Dallas (zh)
19.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 88:108 Indiana (zh)
17.07 01:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 110:86 Dallas (zh)
12.07 19:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty (w) 91:93 Toronto (zh)Toronto (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
96.6 Scored
95.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage