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WNBA
WNBA USA
21.06.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
21.06.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Minnesota Lynx - Washington Mystics

USA Basketball
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
79 : 84
Finished
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Minnesota Lynx - Washington Mystics June 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Minnesota Lynx. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 91.1%
2 8.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Minnesota Lynx
#1GP 1915-4
Washington Mystics
#4GP 189-9

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

35Wins22
79.2Points on average76.2

Head-to-head matches: 57 · average total 155.3 (points)

Team form

Minnesota Lynx
4-1WWLWW
points for 90.5points against 79.3
Washington Mystics
2-3LLLWW
points for 88.3points against 83.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 21.06.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Minnesota Lynx - Washington Mystics

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 152.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 153.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.00 33.3%
1.35 74.1%
1.35 74.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.35 74.1%
1.53 65.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.52 65.8%
1.45 69.0%
2.65 37.7%
2.30 43.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.42 70.4%
1.85 54.1%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 152.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 153.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 154.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 155.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 156.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 157.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 158.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 159.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 160.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 161.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 162.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 163.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 164.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 165.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 166.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 167.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 168.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 169.5 2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
10.50 9.5%
Match center
Washington Mystics
W
12.06 23:30 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics 86:85 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
85.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage