WNBA
WNBA International
15.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Finished

WNBA

Minnesota Lynx (w) - Los Angeles Sparks (w)

International Basketball
Minnesota Lynx (w)
Minnesota Lynx (w)
96 : 87
Finished
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Minnesota Lynx (w)82%

Pure model vs market (1 · Minnesota Lynx (w)): model 46% · market 91% Δ −45 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Minnesota Lynx (w) ✓ Прогноз81.6%
market91%
2 · Los Angeles Sparks (w)18.4%
market9%

Model estimate: win Minnesota Lynx (w) 81.6%, win Los Angeles Sparks (w) 18.4%. Model favourite — Minnesota Lynx (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Minnesota Lynx (w) (odds1.20) confidence 73% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Minnesota Lynx (w) - Los Angeles Sparks (w) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Minnesota Lynx (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Minnesota Lynx (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Minnesota Lynx (w) 81.6% / Los Angeles Sparks (w) 18.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 ✓ Прогноз 90.7%
2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.14 ↑ 1.40
Победитель П2 5.70 ↓ 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Minnesota Lynx (w)
#1GP 2317-6PPG 90.0OPP 80.9
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
#9GP 2110-11PPG 89.0OPP 93.2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Minnesota Lynx (w) - Los Angeles Sparks (w)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 96:87
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Minnesota Lynx (w) 84.3% 81.6% market and model agree
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 15.7% 18.4%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 81.6% / 18.4% probabilities
Rating 1,525 / 1,819 Minnesota Lynx (w) / Los Angeles Sparks (w)
RD 228 / 221 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,069-1,981 / 1,377-2,261 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 18.4%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 81.6%
Total
Over 157.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -11.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
П1 -12.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
П2 +11.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
П2 +12.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
П2 -1.5 2.75 36.4%
П2 -10.5 1.40 71.4%
П2 -11.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -12.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -13.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 -14.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -15.5 1.44 69.4%
П2 -16.5 1.44 69.4%
П2 -17.5 1.44 69.4%
П2 -18.5 1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 157.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 158.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 159.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 160.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 161.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 162.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 180.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 181.5 1.94 51.6% 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 182.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 180.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 181.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%
ТМ 182.5 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.03 97.1% 1.15 87.0%
П2 6.30 15.9% 6.30 15.9% 10.00 10.0% 5.90 17.0%
Match center
Minnesota Lynx (w)
W W
14.07 04:00 МСК WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 104:100 Finiks (zh)
11.07 20:00 МСК WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 90:85 Nyu-York (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
97.0 Scored
92.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
L W W
14.07 02:00 МСК WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 92:101 Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks
11.07 05:00 МСК WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 102:87 Chikago (zh)Chikago (zh)
09.07 05:00 МСК WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 106:92 Indiana (zh)
2 Wins
1 Losses
100.0 Scored
93.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage