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WNBA
WNBA International
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

Minnesota Lynx (w) - Toronto (w)

International Basketball
Minnesota Lynx (w)
Minnesota Lynx (w)
- : -
Not started
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Minnesota Lynx (w)86%

Pure model vs market (1 · Minnesota Lynx (w)): model 65% · market 87% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Minnesota Lynx (w) ✓ Pick85.6%
market87%
2 · Toronto (w)14.4%
market13%

Model estimate: win Minnesota Lynx (w) 85.6%, win Toronto (w) 14.4%. Model favourite — Minnesota Lynx (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Minnesota Lynx (w) - Toronto (w) July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Minnesota Lynx (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 7.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 ✓ Pick 87.2%
2 12.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.11 ↓ 1.09
Pobeditel P2 6.60 ↑ 7.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Minnesota Lynx (w)
#1GP 2317-6PPG 90.0OPP 80.9
Toronto (w)
#11GP 2310-13PPG 89.7OPP 92.0

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Minnesota Lynx (w) - Toronto (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Minnesota Lynx (w) 87.2% 85.6% market and model agree
Toronto (w) 12.8% 14.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 85.6% / 14.4% probabilities
Rating 1,956 / 1,024 Minnesota Lynx (w) / Toronto (w)
RD 225 / 191 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,506-2,405 / 642-1,407 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.40 Fonbet · no value · model 14.4%
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 85.6%
Total
Over 176.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 177.5 1.56 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
2.37 42.2%
2.37 42.2%
2.30 43.5%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.51 66.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 176.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 177.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 178.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 179.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 180.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 181.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 182.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 183.5 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.62 61.7%
Over 184.5 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
Over 185.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 183.5 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1%
Under 184.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 185.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.11 90.1% 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9%
6.60 15.2% 7.40 13.5% 7.40 13.5% 7.80 12.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0
2026-05-22 · Minnesota Links (Zh) 100:72 Toronto Tempo (Zh)
2026-05-02 · Minnesota Links (Zh) 73:66 Toronto Tempo (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Minnesota Lynx (w)
W W W W W
21.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 105:102 Sietl (zh)Sietl (zh)
19.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 99:91 Portlend (zh)
15.07 17:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 96:87 Los-Andzheles (zh)Los-Andzheles (zh)
14.07 01:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 104:100 Finiks (zh)
11.07 17:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 90:85 Nyu-York (zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
98.8 Scored
93.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Toronto (w)
L L L W L
21.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 83:109 Las Vegas (zh)
17.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 92:111 Atlanta (zh)Atlanta (zh)
14.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 62:79 Vashington (zh)Vashington (zh)
12.07 19:00 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 93:91 Nyu-York (zh)
10.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 95:108 Dallas (zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
85.0 Scored
99.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage