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WNBA
WNBA USA
08.05.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
08.05.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

New York Liberty - Connecticut Sun

USA Basketball
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
106 : 75
Finished
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York Liberty - Connecticut Sun May 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: New York Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 8.22

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8
Connecticut Sun
#7GP 142-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

34Wins39
76.8Points on average76.3

Head-to-head matches: 73 · average total 153.1 (points)

Team form

New York Liberty
2-3WLLWL
points for 87.8points against 83.5
Connecticut Sun
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
points for 77.3points against 85.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

New York Liberty - Connecticut Sun

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 157.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Over 158.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.78 56.2%
— 1.93 51.8%
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3% —

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 159.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
Over 160 1.91 52.4% —
Over 160.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 164.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 166.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 169.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 170.5 — 1.90 52.7%
Over 176.5 — 1.98 50.5%
Over 180.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 181.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 182.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 183.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 184.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Under 159.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
Under 160 1.91 52.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 BetBoom Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
1.03 97.6% 1.22 81.7% 1.01 99.5% 5.50 18.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.07 93.5% 17.00 5.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.15 87.0%
9.50 10.5% 4.46 22.5% 34.00 2.9% 1.17 85.8% 8.20 12.2% 28.00 3.6% 1.01 99.0% 10.76 9.3% 5.50 18.2%