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WNBA
WNBA USA
24.05.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction
24.05.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

New York Liberty - Dallas Wings

USA Basketball
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
76 : 91
Finished
Dallas Wings
Dallas Wings

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York Liberty - Dallas Wings May 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: New York Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 67.8%
2 32.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8
Dallas Wings
#4GP 1911-8

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

New York Liberty
2-3WLLWL
points for 87.8points against 83.5
Dallas Wings
2-3WWLLL
points for 79.3points against 86.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 24.05.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

New York Liberty - Dallas Wings

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 174.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 175.5 1.56 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.50 40.0%
2.65 37.7%
2.65 37.7%
1.55 64.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.47 68.0%
1.42 70.4%
1.42 70.4%
2.30 43.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.64 61.0%
1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 90.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 91.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 92.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 93.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 94.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 95.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 174.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 175.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 176.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 177.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 178.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 179.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 180.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 181.5 1.96 51.0%
Over 182.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 183.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 184.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 174.5 2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
2.95 33.9%
Match center
New York Liberty
W L
15.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 100:82 Portland FirePortland Fire
13.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 96:98 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
1 Losses
98.0 Scored
90.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage