WNBA
WNBA USA
22.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

New York Liberty - Golden State Valkyries (w)

USA Basketball
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
70 : 87
Finished
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York Liberty - Golden State Valkyries (w) May 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Golden State Valkyries (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.50 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 8.9%
2 91.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8
Golden State Valkyries (w)
#3GP 138-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins3
75.0Points on average77.2

Head-to-head matches: 5 · average total 152.2 (points)

Team form

New York Liberty
2-3WLLWL
points for 87.8points against 83.5
Golden State Valkyries (w)
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
points for 79.9points against 75.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Barklays Central (Nyu-York)
Start 22.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

New York Liberty - Golden State Valkyries (w)

Array

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 146.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 147.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.48 67.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.33 75.2%
1.43 69.9%
1.37 73.0%
1.43 69.9%
1.44 69.4%
1.44 69.4%
1.41 70.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.48 67.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.47 68.0%
1.47 68.0%
1.51 66.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 146.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 147.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 148.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 149.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 150.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 151.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 152.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 153.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 154.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 155.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 156.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 157.5 3.05 32.8%
Over 158.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 159.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 160.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 161.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 163.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
10.50 9.5%
1.02 98.0%
Match center
New York Liberty
W L
15.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 100:82 Portland FirePortland Fire
13.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 96:98 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
1 Losses
98.0 Scored
90.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage