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WNBA
WNBA USA
30.06.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
30.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

New York Liberty - Las Vegas Aces

USA Basketball
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
93 : 85
Finished
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Las Vegas Aces (odds16.00) Score 80:80 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • New York Liberty: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Las Vegas Aces: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Las Vegas Aces: probability 51%.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York Liberty - Las Vegas Aces June 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Standing in the tournament

League table

New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8
Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 1914-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins5
16.7%Win %83.3%
84.3Points per game87.7
105.5Offensive rating104.5
109.7Defensive rating100.5
-3.3Point differential3.3
52.5Assists59.5
106.0Rebounds109.5
32.5%3-pointers, %32.5%

Team form

New York Liberty
Overall WLLWW Net +9.6
Home WLWW Net +16.2
Away LW Net -0.9
Las Vegas Aces

Coach: Becky Hammon

Overall LWWLW Net +6.9
Home LWW Net -3.7
Away WLW Net +14.4

Team stats

New York Liberty Overall · Home/Away Las Vegas Aces
61.1%H 72.7% · A 42.9%Win %70.6%H 57.1% · A 80.0%
9.6H 16.2 · A -0.9Point differential6.9H -3.7 · A 14.4
83.4H 84.5 · A 81.7Points per game89.2H 87.7 · A 90.3
78.6H 76.4 · A 82.1Conceded85.8H 89.6 · A 83.1
40.6%H 41.8% · A 38.7%FG, %48.2%H 47.7% · A 48.6%
77.8A 71.41st half76.5H 71.4 · A 80.0
78.5H 78.4 · A 78.5Pace81.9H 80.0 · A 83.1
105.6H 105.7 · A 105.5Offensive rating109.9H 112.5 · A 108.1
99.5H 99.6 · A 99.4Defensive rating105.6H 108.1 · A 103.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

New York Liberty Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
83.4 Points per game 89.2
50.0%
O 82.5
76.5%
50.0%
O 83.5
76.5%
44.4%
O 84.5
70.6%
44.4%
O 85.5
64.7%
44.4%
O 86.5srednee
58.8%
33.3%
O 87.5
52.9%
33.3%
O 88.5
52.9%
33.3%
O 89.5
52.9%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

New York Liberty Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
0.0%
O 101.5
11.8%
0.0%
O 102.5
11.8%
0.0%
O 103.5
11.8%
0.0%
O 104.5
11.8%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: New York Liberty 43.1 / Las Vegas Aces 45.9

New York Liberty Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
66.7%
O 42.5
64.7%
66.7%
O 43.5
58.8%
38.9%
O 44.5srednee
58.8%
33.3%
O 45.5
52.9%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: New York Liberty 40.3 / Las Vegas Aces 43.3

New York Liberty Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
44.4%
O 40.5
76.5%
44.4%
O 41.5srednee
70.6%
38.9%
O 42.5
58.8%
33.3%
O 43.5
41.2%

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Match center
Start 30.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

New York Liberty - Las Vegas Aces

H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 165.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 166.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.65 37.7%
2.03 49.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.38 72.5%
1.43 69.9%
1.45 69.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.65 60.6%
2.65 37.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.30 76.9%
2.85 35.1%
1.98 50.5%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 165.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 166.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 168.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 169.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 170.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 171.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 172.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 173.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 174.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 175.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 176.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 177.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 178.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 179.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 180.5 3.20 31.3%
Over 181.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 182.5 2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
16.00 6.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNew York Liberty - Las Vegas Aces

New York Liberty
1 matches total
Las Vegas Aces
New York Liberty: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Las Vegas Aces: 0 (0%)
Biggest win New York Liberty 87:76 (24.06 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 163 goals (87:76, 24.06 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

24.06 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty
87:76
Las Vegas Aces