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WNBA
WNBA USA
29.05.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
29.05.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury

USA Basketball
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
75 : 68
Finished
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury May 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: New York Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 64.9%
2 35.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8
Phoenix Mercury
#7GP 207-13

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

New York Liberty
2-3WLLWL
points for 87.8points against 83.5
Phoenix Mercury
2-3WWLLL
points for 81.1points against 86.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 29.05.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 market consensus · line only
1 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome BetBoom
1.46 68.5%
2.70 37.0%
Match center
New York Liberty
L W
26.05 00:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 74:81 Portland FirePortland Fire
15.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 100:82 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
1 Losses
87.0 Scored
81.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Phoenix Mercury
L
20.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Phoenix Mercury 90:98 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
90.0 Scored
98.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNew York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury

New York Liberty
1 matches total
Phoenix Mercury
New York Liberty: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Phoenix Mercury: 0 (0%)
Biggest win New York Liberty 84:74 (27.05 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 158 goals (84:74, 27.05 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

27.05 23:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty
84:74
Phoenix Mercury