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WNBA
WNBA USA
26.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

New York Liberty - Portland Fire

USA Basketball
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
74 : 81
Finished
Portland Fire
Portland Fire

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York Liberty - Portland Fire May 26, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Portland Fire. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / 2 1.23

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 22.7%
2 77.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8
Portland Fire
#6GP 157-8

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

New York Liberty
2-3WLLWL
points for 87.8points against 83.5
Portland Fire
2-3LWLWL
points for 81.9points against 88.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 26.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

New York Liberty - Portland Fire

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.23 Fonbet · line only
1 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 140.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 141.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.75 36.4%
2.00 50.0%
1.32 75.8%
1.40 71.4%
1.30 76.9%
1.40 71.4%
1.42 70.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.44 69.4%
1.41 70.9%
2.13 47.0%
1.92 52.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.37 73.0%
1.28 78.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 140.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 141.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 142.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 143.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 144.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 145.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 146.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 147.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 148.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 149.5 3.40 29.4%
Over 150.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 151.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 152.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 153.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 154.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 155.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 156.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 157.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.20 23.8%
1.23 81.3%
Match center
New York Liberty
W L
15.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 100:82 Portland FirePortland Fire
13.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 96:98 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
1 Losses
98.0 Scored
90.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Portland Fire
W
23.05 22:00 UTC WNBA
Portland Fire 99:80 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
99.0 Scored
80.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNew York Liberty - Portland Fire

New York Liberty
2 matches total
Portland Fire
New York Liberty: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Portland Fire: 1 (50%)
Biggest win New York Liberty 100:82 (15.05 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 194 goals (96:98, 13.05 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

15.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty
100:82
Portland Fire
13.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty
96:98
Portland Fire