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WNBA
WNBA USA
14.06.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

New York Liberty - Washington Mystics

USA Basketball
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
86 : 64
Finished
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York Liberty - Washington Mystics June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: New York Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 13.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 92.8%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8
Washington Mystics
#4GP 189-9

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

39Wins30
56.5%Win %43.5%
75.8Points per game76.1
86.1Offensive rating85.0
86.4Defensive rating84.6
-0.3Point differential0.3
59.7Assists59.7
117.8Rebounds108.8
33.1%3-pointers, %30.9%

Team form

New York Liberty

Coach: Sandra Anne Brondello

Overall WWWWW Net +10.5
Home WWWW Net +8.3
Away WW Net +15.0
Washington Mystics

Coach: Mike Thibault

Overall LLWLW Net -8.4
Home LWLL Net +3.0
Away LW Net -16.0

Team stats

New York Liberty Overall · Home/Away Washington Mystics
66.7%H 62.5% · A 75.0%Win %40.0%H 25.0% · A 50.0%
10.5H 8.3 · A 15.0Point differential-8.4H 3.0 · A -16.0
87.3H 83.1 · A 95.8Points per game82.7H 86.5 · A 80.2
82.1H 79.0 · A 88.3Conceded86.9H 85.0 · A 88.2
44.4%H 42.1% · A 49.0%FG, %44.7%H 44.5% · A 44.8%
66.7H 50.01st half40.0H 25.0 · A 50.0
81.5H 80.4 · A 83.6Pace82.6H 84.4 · A 81.4
107.8H 109.6 · A 104.3Offensive rating101.5H 99.3 · A 103.0
101.3H 103.0 · A 98.1Defensive rating106.6H 104.3 · A 108.2

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

New York Liberty Total (over) Washington Mystics
87.3 Points per game 82.7
66.7%
O 81.5
50.0%
66.7%
O 82.5
50.0%
58.3%
O 83.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 84.5srednee
50.0%
50.0%
O 85.5
40.0%
50.0%
O 86.5
40.0%
50.0%
O 87.5
30.0%
50.0%
O 88.5
30.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

New York Liberty Total (over) Washington Mystics
8.3%
O 101.5
10.0%
8.3%
O 102.5
10.0%
8.3%
O 103.5
10.0%
8.3%
O 104.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 105.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: New York Liberty 43.0 / Washington Mystics —

New York Liberty Total (over) Washington Mystics
41.7%
O 40.5
40.0%
41.7%
O 41.5
30.0%
33.3%
O 42.5srednee
30.0%
33.3%
O 43.5
30.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: New York Liberty 43.3 / Washington Mystics 41.7

New York Liberty Total (over) Washington Mystics
66.7%
O 40.5
60.0%
50.0%
O 41.5
60.0%
33.3%
O 42.5srednee
60.0%
33.3%
O 43.5
40.0%

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

New York Liberty - Washington Mystics

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.20 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 142.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 143.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
1.43 69.9%
2.85 35.1%
2.55 39.2%
3.00 33.3%
2.60 38.5%
2.30 43.5%
3.00 33.3%
3.00 33.3%
2.60 38.5%
1.75 57.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.45 69.0%
1.60 62.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.35 74.1%
2.20 45.5%
2.40 41.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 142.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 143.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 144.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 145.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 146.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 147.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 148.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 149.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 150.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 151.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 152.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 153.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 154.5 3.35 29.9%
Over 155.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 156.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 157.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 158.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 159.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betfair Fonbet
1.15 87.0% 1.01 99.0%
7.20 13.9% 13.00 7.7%
Match center
New York Liberty
W
03.06 23:30 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty 97:82 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
97.0 Scored
82.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Washington Mystics
W
12.06 23:30 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics 86:85 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
85.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNew York Liberty - Washington Mystics

New York Liberty
1 matches total
Washington Mystics
New York Liberty: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Washington Mystics: 0 (0%)
Biggest win New York Liberty 98:93 (10.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 191 goals (98:93, 10.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.05 19:00 UTC WNBA
New York Liberty
98:93
Washington Mystics