PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
WNBA
WNBA International
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

International

New York Liberty (w) - Seattle Storm (w)

International Basketball
New York Liberty (w)
New York Liberty (w)
- : -
Not started
Seattle Storm (w)
Seattle Storm (w)

New York Liberty (w) meet Seattle Storm (w) on August 3, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): New York Liberty (w) 4-0-1, Seattle Storm (w) 0-0-5. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 New York Liberty (w) — 76%

Pure model vs market (1 · New York Liberty (w)): model 61% · market 77% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · New York Liberty (w) ✓ Pick76.0%
market77%
2 · Seattle Storm (w)24.0%
market23%

Model estimate: win New York Liberty (w) 76.0%, win Seattle Storm (w) 24.0%. Model favourite — New York Liberty (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York Liberty (w) - Seattle Storm (w) August 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: New York Liberty (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.23 / 2 4.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 ✓ Pick 77.1%
2 22.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.23 → 1.23
Pobeditel P2 4.15 → 4.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 77.1% @ 1.23 / 2 22.9% @ 4.15
Form 6 matches
Match center

New York Liberty (w) - Seattle Storm (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
New York Liberty (w) 77.1% 76.0% market and model agree
Seattle Storm (w) 22.9% 24.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 76.0% / 24.0% probabilities
Rating 1,366 / 1,044 New York Liberty (w) / Seattle Storm (w)
RD 154 / 233 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,059-1,673 / 578-1,509 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.15 Fonbet · no value · model 24.0%
1 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 76.0%
Total
Over 178.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 179.5 1.56 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.96 51.0%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 2.23 44.8%
— — 2.37 42.2%
— — 2.60 38.5%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 1.51 66.2%
— — 1.44 69.4%
— — 2.37 42.2%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 1.96 51.0%
— — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 178.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 179.5 — — 1.56 64.1%
Over 180.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 181.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 182.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 183.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 184.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.88 53.2%
Over 185.5 — — 1.96 51.0%
Over 186.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
Over 187.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 188.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 178.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 179.5 — — 2.27 44.1%
Under 180.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 184.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
4.90 20.4% 4.90 20.4% 4.15 24.1% 4.21 23.8%