New York Liberty (w) go head-to-head with Seattle Storm (w) on August 5, 2026 in the WNBA, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): New York Liberty (w) 4-0-1, Seattle Storm (w) 0-0-5. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1New York Liberty (w) — 76%
Pure model vs market (1 · New York Liberty (w)): model 62% · market 77%Δ −15 ppmodel estimates below the market
76%1
1 · New York Liberty (w) ✓ Pick76.2%
market77%
2 · Seattle Storm (w)23.8%
market23%
Model estimate: win New York Liberty (w) 76.2%, win Seattle Storm (w) 23.8%. Model favourite — New York Liberty (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1New York Liberty (w) (odds1.23)Score 84:76Under 176.5(odds2.33)Handicap H2 +9.5(odds1.90)confidence 76%
•Nyu-York (zh): forma VPPVV (3-2)
•Sietl (zh): forma PPPPP (0-5)
•ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
•Model backs Nyu-York (zh): probability 76% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
•no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
•Total: Under 176.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 176.5 (odds 2.33)
•Handicap F2 +9.5: score forecast 84:76 (diff +8) covers the line (odds 1.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction New York Liberty (w) - Seattle Storm (w) August 5, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: New York Liberty (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.23 / 2 4.15
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.1%
4 books · best price +1.6%
1 ✓ Pick77.2%
222.8%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.23→ 1.23
Winner P24.15→ 4.15
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Start05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market1 77.1% @ 1.23 / 2 22.9% @ 4.15
Form6 matches
H2H1
Match center
New York Liberty (w) - Seattle Storm (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
New York Liberty (w)77.2%76.2%market and model agree
Seattle Storm (w)22.8%23.8%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P276.2% / 23.8%
probabilities
Rating1,383 / 979
New York Liberty (w) / Seattle Storm (w)
RD148 / 207
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,087-1,679 / 565-1,392
strength interval
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
24.15
Fonbet · no value · model 23.8%
11.23
Fonbet · no value · model 76.2%
Total
Over 176.51.53
Fonbet · line only
Over 177.51.58
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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