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WNBA
WNBA USA
13.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
13.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx

USA Basketball
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
84 : 88
Finished
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx May 13, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Phoenix Mercury. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 59.5%
2 40.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Phoenix Mercury
#7GP 207-13
Minnesota Lynx
#1GP 1915-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Phoenix Mercury
2-3WWLLL
points for 81.1points against 86.2
Minnesota Lynx
4-1WWLWW
points for 90.5points against 79.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Mortgage Matchup Center (Finiks)
Referee Barnett I. 🇺🇸 - Fahy K. 🇺🇸 - Lanie L. 🇺🇸
Attendance 10 826
Start 13.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx

Array

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 166.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Over 167.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Bwin CloudBet Coral Dafabet DraftKings
— — — 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% — — — —
1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% — — 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
— — — 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% — — — —
1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% — — 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Bwin CloudBet
Over 167.5 1.90 52.6% — — — — —
Over 168.5 1.91 52.4% — — 1.91 52.4% — —
Over 169.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8%
Under 167.5 1.95 51.3% — — — — —
Under 168.5 1.91 52.4% — — 1.91 52.4% — —
Under 169.5 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Bwin CloudBet Coral Dafabet DraftKings
1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.1% 1.57 63.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7%
2.45 40.8% 2.44 41.1% 2.38 42.1% 1.61 62.3% 1.57 63.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Minnesota Lynx
W
02.05 00:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx 73:66 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
73.0 Scored
66.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage