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WNBA
WNBA USA
02.06.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
02.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx

USA Basketball
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
77 : 111
Finished
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx June 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Minnesota Lynx. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / 2 1.68

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 43.8%
2 56.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Phoenix Mercury
#7GP 207-13
Minnesota Lynx
#1GP 1915-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Phoenix Mercury
2-3WWLLL
points for 81.1points against 86.2
Minnesota Lynx
4-1WWLWW
points for 90.5points against 79.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 02.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · line only
1 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome BetBoom
2.16 46.3%
1.68 59.5%
Match center
Phoenix Mercury
L
20.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Phoenix Mercury 90:98 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
90.0 Scored
98.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Minnesota Lynx
W
22.05 00:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx 100:72 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
100.0 Scored
72.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPhoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx

Phoenix Mercury
1 matches total
Minnesota Lynx
Phoenix Mercury: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Minnesota Lynx: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Minnesota Lynx 84:88 (13.05 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 172 goals (84:88, 13.05 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Phoenix Mercury
84:88
Minnesota Lynx