WNBA
WNBA International
08.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Chicago Sky (w)

International Basketball
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)
66 : 77
Finished
Chicago Sky (w)
Chicago Sky (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - Chicago Sky (w) July 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chicago Sky (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 12.9%
2 87.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Chicago Sky (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 135.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 136.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.53 65.4%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.32 75.8%
2.02 49.5%
2.60 38.5%
3.00 33.3%
1.35 74.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.88 53.2%
1.72 58.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.53 65.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.41 70.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 135.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 136.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 137.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 138.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 139.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 140.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 141.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 142.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 143.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 144.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 145.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 146.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 147.5 3.20 31.3%
Over 148.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 149.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 150.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 151.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 152.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.30 13.7%
1.08 92.6%