WNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) - Golden State Valkyries (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Golden State Valkyries (w) — 58%
Model estimate: win Phoenix Mercury (w) 41.5%, win Golden State Valkyries (w) 58.5%. Model favourite — Golden State Valkyries (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Finiks (zh): forma VPPPP (1-4)
- • Golden Steyt (zh): forma PVVVV (4-1)
- • Model backs Golden Steyt (zh): probability 58% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
- • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 160.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 160.5 (odds 1.58)
- • Handicap F1 +5.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - Golden State Valkyries (w) July 30, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / 2 1.44
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Phoenix Mercury (w) - Golden State Valkyries (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| — | 2.37 42.2% | |
| — | 2.23 44.8% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | 3.05 32.8% | |
| — | 1.51 66.2% | |
| — | 1.58 63.3% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 2.37 42.2% | |
| — | 1.33 75.2% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 149.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 150.5 | — | 1.56 64.1% |
| Over 151.5 | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 152.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 153.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 154.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 155.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 156.5 | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| Over 157.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 158.5 | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 159.5 | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 160.5 | — | 2.23 44.8% |
| Over 161.5 | — | 2.33 42.9% |
| Over 162.5 | — | 2.33 42.9% |
| Under 155.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 157.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 33.3% | 2.80 35.7% | 3.09 32.4% | |
| 1.39 71.9% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% |
Form & head-to-head
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Los-Andzheles (zh)
Chikago (zh)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Vashington (zh)
Vashington (zh)
Toronto (zh)
Full head-to-head historyPhoenix Mercury (w) - Golden State Valkyries (w)
Match history
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The Phoenix Mercury (w) - Golden State Valkyries (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form