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WNBA
WNBA USA
19.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
19.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun

USA Basketball
Portland Fire
Portland Fire
83 : 82
Finished
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun May 19, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Connecticut Sun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 34.5%
2 65.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Portland Fire

Main outcome Portland Fire
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 50.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Portland Fire
#6GP 157-8
Connecticut Sun
#7GP 142-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Portland Fire
2-3LWLWL
points for 81.9points against 88.8
Connecticut Sun
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
points for 77.3points against 85.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 19.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 83:82
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.15 31.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.47 68.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.80 35.7%
3.35 29.9%
1.30 76.9%
1.98 50.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.60 62.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.57 63.7%
1.48 67.6%
1.41 70.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 158.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 159.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 160.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 161.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 162.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 163.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 164.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 165.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 166.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 167.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 168.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 169.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 170.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 171.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 172.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 173.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 174.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 175.5 2.05 48.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.75 36.4%
1.45 69.0%