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WNBA
WNBA USA
28.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
28.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun

USA Basketball
Portland Fire
Portland Fire
71 : 61
Finished
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun May 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Portland Fire. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / 2 5.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 81.3%
2 18.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Portland Fire
#6GP 157-8
Connecticut Sun
#7GP 142-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Portland Fire
2-3LWLWL
points for 81.9points against 88.8
Connecticut Sun
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
points for 77.3points against 85.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 28.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 129.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 130.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.08 48.1%
2.40 41.7%
2.85 35.1%
1.60 62.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%
2.95 33.9%
1.32 75.8%
1.23 81.3%
1.75 57.1%
1.35 74.1%
1.37 73.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 129.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 130.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 131.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 132.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 133.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 134.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 135.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 136.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 137.5 3.45 29.0%
Over 138.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 139.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 140.5 3.05 32.8%
Over 141.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 142.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 143.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 144.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 145.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 146.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.15 87.0%
5.00 20.0%
Match center
Portland Fire
W
23.05 22:00 UTC WNBA
Portland Fire 99:80 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
99.0 Scored
80.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Connecticut Sun
L
19.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun 82:83 Portland FirePortland Fire
0 Wins
1 Losses
82.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPortland Fire - Connecticut Sun

Portland Fire
1 matches total
Connecticut Sun
Portland Fire: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Connecticut Sun: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Portland Fire 83:82 (19.05 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 165 goals (83:82, 19.05 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

19.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Portland Fire
83:82
Connecticut Sun